All derived figures reviewer-recomputed; BESS runtime corrected to the chiller's electrical draw (2-3 h, not 1 h of thermal rating)
109 lines
4.8 KiB
Markdown
109 lines
4.8 KiB
Markdown
# Project Scale: Rough Numbers
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One-page sizing of the whole project. Everything here is a planning
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estimate derived from the session's vendor data and standard ratios;
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figures marked "estimate" have no vendor confirmation yet. Update this
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page as real quotes and the site decision land.
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## Production capacity
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| Phase | Fleet | Rough output |
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| Launch | 1 semi-auto press (Newbilt Single), 1 shift | ~90,000 to 135,000 records/yr |
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| Duplex | 2 semi-auto presses, 1 to 2 shifts | ~300,000 to 600,000 records/yr |
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| Mature | 2 semi-auto + 2 automated (50/50 fleet), 2 shifts | ~1.0 to 1.5 million records/yr |
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Basis: the automated AD12 presses ~140 records/hour each (vendor datasheet);
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semi-automatic throughput is unpublished, assumed 60 to 80 records/hour per
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press with operator handling (estimate); 16 h/day, 300 days/yr, with
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realistic overall effectiveness of 60 to 70% applied. The theoretical
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ceiling of the mature fleet at 100% uptime is roughly 1.9 to 2.1 million
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records per year.
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## Building
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| Zone | Rough area |
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| Semi-auto press hall (Newbilt Duplex spec) | ~200 m² |
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| Automated press zone | ~100 to 150 m² |
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| Galvanics clean room + water treatment + chemical storage | ~80 to 150 m² |
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| Mastering and cutting room | ~40 to 60 m² |
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| Stamper prep | ~30 m² |
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| Packaging + finished goods warehouse | ~300 to 500 m² |
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| Utility rooms (boiler, compressor, chiller, electrical) | ~100 to 150 m² |
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| Offices, QC/listening, archive, IT, entrance | ~150 to 200 m² |
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| Circulation, walls, misc | ~150 to 250 m² |
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| **Total under roof** | **~1,200 to 1,700 m²** |
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The HVAC budget in the utilities CSV already assumes ~1,500 m² conditioned.
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Single story throughout: all heavy equipment needs ground-slab floor
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loading (multiple tons per m²).
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## Land: factory plot
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Industrial plots typically allow 50 to 60% building coverage, and the site
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needs truck access and turning, parking, the outdoor cooling tower, the
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separated BESS enclosure, possible ground-mount solar, and expansion room.
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- Minimum workable: **~4 rai** (6,400 m²)
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- Comfortable with expansion and ground-mount solar: **~6 to 8 rai**
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(9,600 to 12,800 m²)
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Separate asset: the **60 rai** forestry-classified parcel for coppice
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fuelwood (see [biomass](biomass.md)), pending its title check. It is a fuel
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plantation, not a factory site candidate unless the classification allows
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conversion, which forestry land generally does not.
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## Electrical scale
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| Load | Rough figure |
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| Pressing machinery (semi-auto line + 2 automated presses) | ~70 to 80 kW installed |
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| Process chiller (250 kW cooling) | ~80 to 125 kW electrical |
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| Whole-factory HVAC | ~100 to 200 kW peak (estimate) |
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| Electric steam boiler (if chosen over biomass/LPG) | ~300 kW |
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| Compressed air, lighting, IT, misc | ~30 to 50 kW |
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| **Plant peak demand** | **~300 to 450 kW without electric boiler; ~600 to 750 kW with it** |
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Grid connection: a medium-voltage connection with a transformer in the
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**500 to 1,000 kVA** class from PEA, sized by the boiler decision.
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## Solar and storage
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- Roof of a ~1,500 m² building fits roughly **150 to 200 kWp**; reaching the
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illustrative 300 kWp in the utilities CSV needs carport or ground-mount
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on the plot (about 1 rai of ground per additional 100 kWp, estimate)
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- Northern Thailand yield ~1,400 to 1,500 kWh/kWp/yr, so 300 kWp produces
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roughly **420 to 450 MWh/yr**
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- Plant consumption at mature two-shift operation: roughly **1,000 to
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1,500 MWh/yr** without electric steam, up to **~2,500 MWh/yr** with it
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(estimate), so 300 kWp covers on the order of **20 to 35%** of
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consumption; a bigger array shifts that up
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- Battery: **271 kWh** Gobel stack (peak shaving and ride-through, roughly
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two to three hours of the chiller's electrical draw)
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## Steam and fuel
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- Boiler: **400 kg/h at 10 bar / 180 °C** (~300 kW thermal)
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- If biomass: **~350 to 400 t/yr** air-dry wood at mature operation, of
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which the 60 rai coppice could supply **~80 to 135 t/yr**
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- If LPG: **~2.5 to 5 t** bulk tank on site (no gas pipeline in the North)
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## People
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Rough mature-operation headcount (estimate): 4 to 6 press/finishing
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operators per shift, 2 to 3 galvanics, 1 to 2 mastering/cutting engineers,
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1 to 2 QC, 2 maintenance, 3 to 5 admin/sales/logistics. Roughly **15 to 25
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people** across shifts at maturity, fewer than half that at launch.
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## Money (cross-references)
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- Newbilt semi-auto line: **~€200,500** (2024 quote, expired, in
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[pressing-line](equipment/pressing-line.md))
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- Thai-sourced utilities, HVAC, racking, solar, BESS baseline: **~24M to
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42M THB** (~€630k to 1.1M), detail in the
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[utilities CSV](finance/utilities-investment.csv)
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- Not yet priced: automated presses (indicative ~$340k each, unverified),
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galvanics line, mastering/cutting room, metrology, building
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construction/fit-out, land
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