Commit Graph
3 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
grabowski 0fb60bcbb5 Add digital factory systems plan (NixOS fleet as one Clan)
New docs/digital-factory.md: every system needed for environmental,
machine, QC and genealogy data to land in one database keyed to one
record identity. Standing decision: all services run on NixOS machines
declared and deployed as a single clan.lol inventory (mesh, backups,
host monitoring, secrets from clan services).

Covers machine list and roles, VLAN zoning, Telegraf/MQTT acquisition
source by source with the RFQ clause for each, environment sensor zones,
QC instrument integration paths, the factory application modules and
entities, alerting tiers, backup and retention, security, procurement
clauses, build order aligned with the roadmap phases, rough cost and
open questions.

README index and layout tree updated; roadmap item 17 and the
traceability spec link to the new document.
2026-09-21 21:06:42 +02:00
grabowski 20c8d283d5 Rebase costs on USD/THB; add timelines and first market data
Currency
- Base currency moves from EUR to USD and THB throughout. Rates at
  5 Aug 2026: 1 USD = 33 THB, 1 EUR = 1.155 USD, 1 GBP = 1.35 USD.
  EUR/THB lands at ~38, so existing THB research needed no change.
- Vendor quotes keep their original currency with a USD/THB equivalent
  alongside, so they stay checkable against the source PDFs.
- Full vision ~4.7-8.9M USD; phased entry ~1.7-2.9M USD.

New documents
- production-timeline.md: order turnaround stage by stage. Launch
  8-14 weeks, mature 5-10, repress 2-3. Quantifies the in-house
  galvanics turnaround claim the repo had asserted without a number,
  and flags artwork as an unmodelled fourth approval gate.
- project-timeline.md: calendar to first paying release, ~Q4 2028.
  Critical path is BOI certificate to press order to build to
  commissioning. Two findings: Newbilt build time is absent from the
  repo yet carries ~40% of the schedule, and the BOI rule may be
  over-serialised since duty exemption attaches at importation rather
  than at contract signature.

First market data (ResurRec, Bangkok)
- Invoice-derived prices, a factory tour, and a confirmed fleet of one
  Newbilt Classic 12" automatic plus one semi-automatic.
- Price ladder recorded at 300/500/1000-3000/3000+ units. Decomposes
  to roughly 34-50k THB fixed per title and 535-780 THB variable per
  unit, which is 4-7x the price this model assumes.
- The incumbent presses 230-350k records/yr but buys every stamper as
  an import. That single constraint plausibly explains their 150-unit
  floor, their flat discount ladder and their large-run lead time, and
  it is what an in-house galvanics line attacks. Logged as an open
  question on whether galvanics should move from phase 5 to phase 1.
- Inferences are marked as inferences; the whole set is one buyer and
  one plant, and the model is deliberately left unrebased until a
  second data point exists.

Corrections
- Gross margin arithmetic did not follow from its own inputs. Restated
  as ~1.95 USD at the midpoint with the 0.75-3.15 spread shown; the
  previous "40 to 55%" was not supported.
- Direct cost low total 1.50 to 1.45 USD; contingency THB high 40M
  to 38M.
- README indexes the construction RFQ, which was missing.
2026-08-06 12:22:40 +07:00
grabowski c138177f67 Add project roadmap: 27 steps in dependency order across six phases
Three current gates (market validation, BOI, land title check) through
quotes, commitment, build, launch, and revenue-gated expansion; import
window correctly attributed to certificate issuance
2026-07-17 18:02:18 +07:00