Add project roadmap: 27 steps in dependency order across six phases

Three current gates (market validation, BOI, land title check) through
quotes, commitment, build, launch, and revenue-gated expansion; import
window correctly attributed to certificate issuance

README.md

@@ -53,6 +53,9 @@ and budgets for the other steps are open planning items.
 
 The detail lives in dedicated documents:
 
+- [Roadmap](docs/roadmap.md): next steps in dependency order, from the
+  three current gates (market validation, BOI, land title check) through
+  quotes, commitment, build, launch, and expansion
 - [Pressing line equipment plan](docs/equipment/pressing-line.md): the
   50/50 automated/semi-automatic fleet strategy, the Newbilt system under
   evaluation (≈ €200,500 quoted scope), and site requirements
@@ -115,6 +118,7 @@ docs/
 ├── facility-security.md   Security, HVAC, fire and life safety, compliance
 ├── process-flow.md        Audio file to delivered record, with all checks
 ├── quality-automation.md  Stamper metrology and layered record QC
+├── roadmap.md             Next steps in dependency order
 ├── scale.md               Rough project sizing on one page
 ├── sustainability.md      Energy, water, materials commitments
 ├── traceability.md        Process logging and per-order traceability
@@ -125,7 +129,7 @@ Vendor PDFs and spreadsheets are primary sources and reflect the state of
 negotiations at their file dates. Treat prices and lead times as snapshots,
 not commitments.
 
-## Roadmap for This Repo
+## What This Repo Will Grow to Hold
 
 - Accumulate planning and vendor documents as decisions firm up, including
   the mastering, cutting, and galvanics chain

docs/roadmap.md

@@ -0,0 +1,101 @@
+# Roadmap
+
+Next steps in dependency order. No calendar dates yet: each phase is gated
+by the one before it, and the clock starts when the first-phase items move.
+Rough durations are estimates.
+
+## Phase 0: Validate and clear the gates (now)
+
+These three run in parallel and gate everything downstream:
+
+1. **Market validation**: test the 3.0 to 4.0 EUR blended pressing price
+   and regional demand with Asian labels and distributors, starting at
+   Making Vinyl in Haarlem (Alexander and Simona). This is the biggest
+   assumption in the [revenue model](finance/revenue-model.md); the
+   financing case waits on it.
+2. **BOI track**: engage a BOI-registered consultant, confirm the activity
+   sub-code, and structure the application so the solar, automation, and
+   R&D measures stack (see [boi.md](boi.md)). The application precedes
+   company incorporation and every machinery purchase order. Decision
+   timeline once filed: roughly 40 working days, 4 to 6 months to
+   certificate in practice.
+3. **60 rai title check**: verify the forestry-classified parcel's legal
+   status (Chanote vs Sor Por Kor vs National Forest Reserve). Gates the
+   [biomass plan](biomass.md); if it clears, plant the coppice immediately
+   so first harvest (2 to 4 years) meets the expansion phase.
+
+## Phase 1: Quotes and site (parallel with the BOI decision window)
+
+4. **Newbilt re-quote** (2024 offer expired), with PLC/data access as a
+   stated purchasing requirement per the
+   [traceability spec](traceability.md)
+5. **Pheenix Alpha**: current metric datasheet and quotes for the AD12 and
+   AD12 Manual, evaluating the single-vendor option against Newbilt for
+   the semi-auto half
+6. **Digital Matrix**: galvanics line quote; in parallel, identify the
+   separate water-treatment vendor for the zero-discharge system
+7. **Thai utility RFQs** from the candidates in the
+   [utilities CSV](finance/utilities-investment.csv), with guaranteed
+   northern service response as a line item; resolve the 35% vs 45% RH
+   floor question (the biggest HVAC cost lever)
+8. **Solar/BESS engineering check**: match the Gobel rack voltage to the
+   chosen Deye model, request Gobel certifications and warranty terms,
+   confirm the EPC (Solar Nicolo or other) warrants a mixed-vendor DC bus
+9. **Site selection**: candidate buildings/plots in Lamphun and Lampang
+   (Northern Region Industrial Estate first for its shared effluent
+   treatment and licensing simplicity), screened against the
+   [scale requirements](scale.md): 6 to 8 rai, 1,200 to 1,700 m² single
+   story, multiple tons per m² slab, 500 to 1,000 kVA connection
+
+## Phase 2: Commit (after BOI certificate and validated pricing)
+
+10. Finalize company incorporation under the promotion certificate
+11. Sign the pressing-line order (Newbilt or Pheenix path); machinery must
+    arrive within the ~30-month duty-free import window that runs from
+    certificate issuance
+12. Secure the site (lease preferred for the phased entry; purchase only
+    with land privileges under BOI)
+13. Order long-lead items: mastering lathe (Agnew build times are long),
+    stamper-prep machines, first utility packages
+14. Engage Stamper Discs for the bridge-stamper relationship with written
+    turnaround SLAs
+
+## Phase 3: Build and commission (~6 to 12 months after commitment)
+
+15. Building fit-out: slab verification, HVAC, clean zones, utilities,
+    solar and BESS installation, security systems per
+    [facility-security.md](facility-security.md)
+16. Machinery installation and vendor commissioning (Newbilt on-site
+    commissioning is mandatory for warranty; budget per the service rate
+    card)
+17. Traceability software v1: intake, batch genealogy, press telemetry
+    capture (spec in [traceability.md](traceability.md))
+18. Hire and train the launch team; safety program stands up with the
+    equipment, not after it
+
+## Phase 4: Launch (pressing with bridge stampers)
+
+19. First test pressings, QC baselines, reject-rate shakedown
+20. First paying releases; validate turnaround and quality against the
+    regional pitch
+21. PVC lab per-lot gate live; begin qualifying Thai/regional compound
+    against the European references
+
+## Phase 5: Expand (revenue-gated)
+
+22. Duplex expansion (second press and extruder are already quoted options)
+23. Galvanics line in-house (silvering, electroforming, stamper prep) with
+    the zero-discharge water plant; Stamper Discs moves to overflow/backup
+24. Automated press line (the 50/50 fleet target)
+25. Full metrology stack and the sampled audio QC station
+26. Biomass boiler, fed by the by-then-mature coppice plus regional fuel
+27. Mastering and cutting room (can move earlier if title-services demand
+    shows up in Phase 4)
+
+## Standing principle
+
+Nothing in Phases 2 to 5 starts before its gate clears: no machinery order
+before the BOI certificate, no big-block spending before the market
+validates the price, no coppice fuel planning before the land title check.
+The phased entry (~1.5M to 2.5M EUR) is the default path; the full vision
+(~4M to 7.7M EUR) is reached through it, not instead of it.