grabowski
0fb60bcbb5
New docs/digital-factory.md: every system needed for environmental, machine, QC and genealogy data to land in one database keyed to one record identity. Standing decision: all services run on NixOS machines declared and deployed as a single clan.lol inventory (mesh, backups, host monitoring, secrets from clan services). Covers machine list and roles, VLAN zoning, Telegraf/MQTT acquisition source by source with the RFQ clause for each, environment sensor zones, QC instrument integration paths, the factory application modules and entities, alerting tiers, backup and retention, security, procurement clauses, build order aligned with the roadmap phases, rough cost and open questions. README index and layout tree updated; roadmap item 17 and the traceability spec link to the new document.
5.9 KiB
5.9 KiB
Roadmap
Next steps in dependency order. No calendar dates yet: each phase is gated by the one before it, and the clock starts when the first-phase items move. Rough durations are estimates.
Phase 0: Validate and clear the gates (now)
These three run in parallel and gate everything downstream:
- Market validation: test the 3.50 to 4.60 USD blended pressing price and regional demand with Asian labels and distributors, starting at Making Vinyl in Haarlem (Alexander and Simona). This is the biggest assumption in the revenue model; the financing case waits on it. Partially started: a first buy-side data point and a factory tour (ResurRec Bangkok, August 2026) are recorded in the revenue model. The prices disagree with the model on per-title services and run size; the tour showed no plating and no HVAC anywhere in the incumbent's operation, which is the strongest argument yet for pulling galvanics forward from Phase 5. Carry the open run-size question into these conversations.
- BOI track: engage a BOI-registered consultant, confirm the activity sub-code, and structure the application so the solar, automation, and R&D measures stack (see boi.md). The application precedes company incorporation and every machinery purchase order. Decision timeline once filed: roughly 40 working days, 4 to 6 months to certificate in practice.
- 60 rai title check: verify the forestry-classified parcel's legal status (Chanote vs Sor Por Kor vs National Forest Reserve). Gates the biomass plan; if it clears, plant the coppice immediately so first harvest (2 to 4 years) meets the expansion phase.
Phase 1: Quotes and site (parallel with the BOI decision window)
- Newbilt re-quote (2024 offer expired), with PLC/data access as a stated purchasing requirement per the traceability spec
- Pheenix Alpha: current metric datasheet and quotes for the AD12 and AD12 Manual, evaluating the single-vendor option against Newbilt for the semi-auto half
- Digital Matrix: galvanics line quote; in parallel, identify the separate water-treatment vendor for the zero-discharge system
- Thai utility RFQs from the candidates in the utilities CSV, with guaranteed northern service response as a line item; resolve the 35% vs 45% RH floor question (the biggest HVAC cost lever)
- Solar/BESS engineering check: match the Gobel rack voltage to the chosen Deye model, request Gobel certifications and warranty terms, confirm the EPC (Solar Nicolo or other) warrants a mixed-vendor DC bus
- Site selection: candidate buildings/plots in Lamphun and Lampang (Northern Region Industrial Estate first for its shared effluent treatment and licensing simplicity), screened against the scale requirements: 6 to 8 rai, 1,200 to 1,700 m² single story, multiple tons per m² slab, 500 to 1,000 kVA connection
Phase 2: Commit (after BOI certificate and validated pricing)
- Finalize company incorporation under the promotion certificate
- Sign the pressing-line order (Newbilt or Pheenix path); machinery must arrive within the ~30-month duty-free import window that runs from certificate issuance
- Secure the site (lease preferred for the phased entry; purchase only with land privileges under BOI)
- Order long-lead items: mastering lathe (Agnew build times are long), stamper-prep machines, first utility packages
- Engage Stamper Discs for the bridge-stamper relationship with written turnaround SLAs
Phase 3: Build and commission (~6 to 12 months after commitment)
- Building fit-out: slab verification, HVAC, clean zones, utilities, solar and BESS installation, security systems per facility-security.md
- Machinery installation and vendor commissioning (Newbilt on-site commissioning is mandatory for warranty; budget per the service rate card)
- Traceability software v1: intake, batch genealogy, press telemetry capture (spec in traceability.md, systems and build order in digital-factory.md; the network, servers and edge collectors go in before the machinery arrives)
- Hire and train the launch team; safety program stands up with the equipment, not after it
Phase 4: Launch (pressing with bridge stampers)
- First test pressings, QC baselines, reject-rate shakedown
- First paying releases; validate turnaround and quality against the regional pitch
- PVC lab per-lot gate live; begin qualifying Thai/regional compound against the European references
Phase 5: Expand (revenue-gated)
- Duplex expansion (second press and extruder are already quoted options)
- Galvanics line in-house (silvering, electroforming, stamper prep) with the zero-discharge water plant; Stamper Discs moves to overflow/backup. Open question: should this move to Phase 1? The August 2026 market evidence says the domestic bottleneck is imported metalwork, not press capacity, and that a galvanics line could earn from the incumbent's spare presses before CNX's own press hall exists — see the revenue model
- Automated press line (the 50/50 fleet target)
- Full metrology stack and the sampled audio QC station
- Biomass boiler, fed by the by-then-mature coppice plus regional fuel
- Mastering and cutting room (can move earlier if title-services demand shows up in Phase 4)
Standing principle
Nothing in Phases 2 to 5 starts before its gate clears: no machinery order before the BOI certificate, no big-block spending before the market validates the price, no coppice fuel planning before the land title check. The phased entry (~1.7M to 2.9M USD) is the default path; the full vision (~4.7M to 8.9M USD) is reached through it, not instead of it.