Press fleet: two Newbilt Duplex systems with an extruder per press, plus a Classic

The current plan (user decision, October 2026) replaces the 50/50 target
(two semi-automatic presses and two Pheenix AD12s) with an all-Newbilt
fleet of five presses: two Duplex systems in Newbilt's two-extruder
configuration (two HRP 12 presses, an extruder each, one hydraulic unit)
and one Classic fully automatic press.

- pressing-line.md: new "Current plan" section (fleet table, what it
  means, phasing from the Single 2.1 as the first half of system 1,
  re-quote questions); site requirements per Duplex system.
- scale.md: capacity table and basis (368 to 448 records/h, ~1.06 to 1.5M
  a year on two shifts, same range as before); pressing electrical row;
  steam and cooling flagged, not re-based: five presses draw ~750 to 900
  kg/h of steam and up to ~625 kW of cooling at Newbilt's per-press
  figures, against the 400 kg/h / 250 kW sized for one Duplex.
- total-investment.md: fleet change as an added-scope row (system 2
  ~230k-300k and the Classic ~290k-460k, estimates; -60k / -160k against
  the two blocks it replaces); headline unchanged until the re-base.
- roadmap items 4, 5 and 24, revenue model mature row, crane doc (the
  Classic's weight now decides 5 t or 3.2 t), vendor landscape (AD12 is
  the comparison for the Classic), README.

The business plan docx is not regenerated.
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grabowski committed 2026-10-10 16:05:27 +07:00
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@@ -99,7 +99,7 @@ as output.
| ResurRec, assuming one shift over 300 days | ~275k – 355k |
| **CNX launch** (1 semi-auto, 1 shift) | **90k – 135k** |
| CNX Duplex (2 semi-auto, 1–2 shifts) | ~175k – 540k |
| CNX mature (2 semi + 2 automated, 2 shifts) | 1.0M – 1.5M |
| CNX mature (4 semi + 1 automated, 2 shifts) | 1.0M – 1.5M |
All rows are on the same 300-day basis so they can be compared. CNX does
not overtake them on installed capability until the Duplex expansion, and
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@@ -16,8 +16,8 @@ July 2026; the underlying THB estimates are unchanged, because EUR/THB at
| Block | USD | THB | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newbilt semi-auto line, full Duplex | 350k – 370k | 11.5M – 12.2M | 2024 quote EUR 200,500 (~USD 232k) + quoted 2nd press/extruder ~USD 115k; expired, needs re-quote |
| 2 automated presses (Pheenix AD12) | 580k – 920k | 19.1M – 30.5M | unverified ~USD 340k/press indicative + delivery and commissioning |
| Newbilt semi-auto line, full Duplex | 350k – 370k | 11.5M – 12.2M | 2024 quote EUR 200,500 (~USD 232k) + quoted 2nd press/extruder ~USD 115k; expired, needs re-quote. The fleet has since changed, see the added-scope table |
| 2 automated presses (Pheenix AD12) | 580k – 920k | 19.1M – 30.5M | unverified ~USD 340k/press indicative + delivery and commissioning. Replaced by the Newbilt Classic in the current fleet, see the added-scope table |
| Galvanics line (Digital Matrix or Pheenix Alpha) | 320k – 650k | 10.7M – 21.4M | six-figure-USD turnkey inference from vendor research; the Pheenix range (2024 flyers, [galvanics and stamper prep](../equipment/galvanics.md)) is unpriced too; OMS's reference prices (letter, 9 October 2026) put a complete 4-cell wet room at EUR 224k basic to 311k advanced (~USD 259k to 359k; ~270k to 371k with know-how transfer), installation and water treatment extra: at or below this block's low end, kept until quotes exist |
| Zero-discharge water treatment (ZLD) | 90k – 240k | 3.0M – 8.0M | utilities CSV option row |
| Stamper prep (Sibert VSP, VSF, VSC) | 60k – 170k | 1.9M – 5.7M | estimate kept until the re-base; Sibert has since confirmed USD 250k for the three (its time, spares, shipping and travel extra), the difference is in the table below |
@@ -47,7 +47,8 @@ building, software and stamper prep lines, and the contingency on top).
| Artist platform, public side (calculator, campaigns, payments) | 40k – 90k | 1.3M – 3.0M | estimate, [artist platform](../artist-platform.md) |
| PVC material lab, day-one tier (incl. plaque press and sample conditioning) | 55k – 150k | 1.8M – 5.0M | estimate, [quality automation](../quality-automation.md); not costed in the metrology block above. The mature tier (torque rheometer, DSC, FTIR, ~120k – 240k) is deferred, with partner labs in between |
| Stamper prep re-priced: USD 250k for VSP, VSF and VSC against the 60k – 170k block above | +190k (low case) / +80k (high case) | +6.3M / +2.6M | Sibert's budget confirmation, email of 5 October 2026 ([galvanics and stamper prep](../equipment/galvanics.md)); itemised quotation to follow. Its time, spare parts, shipping and travel are extra and fall into the freight/installation and spares blocks above |
| **Added so far** | **~480k – 770k** | **~15.8M – 25.5M** | about 10 to 12% on the full-vision subtotal |
| Press fleet changed (October 2026) to two Newbilt Duplex systems with an extruder per press plus one Newbilt Classic, replacing the two blocks above (930k – 1,290k): Duplex system 1 as the first block (350k – 370k), system 2 ~230k – 300k (two press and extruder sets at the quoted ~115k each, plus its hydraulic unit, estimate), the Classic ~290k – 460k (the AD12 band per press as a placeholder; no Newbilt price on file) | −60k (low case) / −160k (high case) | −2.0M / −5.3M | estimate, [pressing line](../equipment/pressing-line.md); the Newbilt re-quote replaces it. The utilities for five presses are not re-sized yet ([scale](../scale.md)) |
| **Added so far** | **~420k – 610k** | **~13.8M – 20.2M** | about 8 to 10% on the full-vision subtotal |
## Phased entry
@@ -60,8 +61,9 @@ A credible launch phase is far smaller, roughly **1.7M to 2.9M USD
metrology deferred; the PVC lab's day-one tier is the added-scope row
above
- Leased building instead of purchase, modest first solar array
- Galvanics, automated presses, full metrology, and the biomass boiler
follow as revenue-funded or second-round expansions
- Galvanics, the second Duplex system and the Classic, full metrology,
and the biomass boiler follow as revenue-funded or second-round
expansions
The planning already supports this: the Duplex-ready hydraulics, the
bridge-supplier role for Stamper Discs, the staged electric-to-biomass
@@ -80,7 +82,7 @@ exactly this reason.
[project-timeline.md](../project-timeline.md)
- **Biggest uncertainty bands**: metrology (partly a choice of ambition),
the mastering/cutting room (bespoke vendor, no public pricing), the
automated presses (single unverified price point), and land
Newbilt Classic (no price on file), and land
- **Currency exposure is real and is not modelled here.** Revenue is
mostly USD/EUR from export customers, the cost base is mostly THB, and
the largest single equipment block is EUR-denominated and unhedged