Re-base scale, pressing line, roadmap, revenue model and calculator on the launch plant
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Launch plant (user, October 2026): one Duplex system and one Classic, with cutting and galvanics in-house, everything in one capital round. - scale.md: capacity table now launch plant 0.71-0.97M records/yr, the second Duplex as a growth option; launch utilities (450-540 kg/h on B-1/B-2, ~390 kW on 2 x 250 kW); calculator figure ~0.94M. - pressing-line.md: launch plant section on top; five-press fleet kept as the layout fleet the hall and backbone are built for. - roadmap.md: long-lead orders for the launch plant, no bridge stampers or outsourced cutting, commissioning order, what stays revenue-gated. - revenue-model.md: operating picture of the launch plant: central revenue ~3.75M USD, EBITDA ~1.6M, operating profit ~1.1M, payback ~4 yr on 216M THB, break-even ~0.3M records; adverse corner cannot cover depreciation. Five-press table kept and labelled. - fleet-calculator.html: start fleet 1 Duplex + 1 Classic, target 850k, capex base 6.55M (cases 8.9 / 6.55 / 4.9M), Duplex beyond one, chiller 500 kW, imported machinery 2.3M, ladder from the launch plant. - total-investment.md: superseded note updated.
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@@ -165,8 +165,8 @@ document.documentElement.setAttribute("data-theme",t);})();
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Set the records you want a year and the share of splatter and other
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specials. The calculator sizes the press fleet from Newbilt Duplex systems
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(two HRP 12 presses, an EX 50 and an EX 35 colour extruder each) and Newbilt
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Classic automatic presses, starting from the planned two Duplex systems and
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one Classic. It then lists what that fleet needs: people, power, central
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Classic automatic presses, starting from the launch plant: one Duplex system
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and one Classic. It then lists what that fleet needs: people, power, central
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hydraulics, steam, cooling, compressed air, floor, compound and stampers.
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Vendor figures are from Newbilt's Duplex site requirements and offer; the
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rest are planning figures and estimates from the CNX Vinyl documents. Every
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@@ -301,7 +301,7 @@ document.documentElement.setAttribute("data-theme",t);})();
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<section class="card">
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<h2>From small to fully equipped</h2>
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<p class="note" style="margin-top:0">Fleets from the start fleet to a full Payap press hall (about 870 m²:
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<p class="note" style="margin-top:0">Fleets from the launch plant to a full Payap press hall (about 870 m²:
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the two Duplex bays plus the Classic and ten more Classic positions, or the same floor
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with more Duplex systems), at the current settings. Click a row to load it.</p>
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<div class="tscroll"><table id="ladT"></table></div>
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@@ -334,7 +334,7 @@ document.documentElement.setAttribute("data-theme",t);})();
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states them. A real plant staggers cycles, so the boiler and chiller can be sized lower once
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a utility engineer has the cycle data.</p>
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<p><b>Money.</b> Prices, per-record costs, wages, overheads and depreciation come from
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finance/revenue-model.md, capex from finance/total-investment.md (the start fleet plan plus each
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finance/revenue-model.md, capex from finance/total-investment.md (the launch plant plus each
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Duplex system or Classic added or removed), the electricity tariff and PV from scale.md, the biomass
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heat price from biomass.md. Electricity and steam follow the fleet: machines, chiller and compressors
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at the hours run, steam from the presses' running time, plus an estimated base load for the rest of
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@@ -369,8 +369,8 @@ document.documentElement.setAttribute("data-theme",t);})();
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"use strict";
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// ---------------------------------------------------------------- inputs
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const S0 = {
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mode: "target", target: 1000000, spec: 20, grow: "classic", dMin: 2, cMin: 1,
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dFleet: 2, cFleet: 1, shifts: 2, hrs: 8, days: 300, eff: 65, rateD: 3, rateC: 2, specF: 100,
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mode: "target", target: 850000, spec: 20, grow: "classic", dMin: 1, cMin: 1,
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dFleet: 1, cFleet: 1, shifts: 2, hrs: 8, days: 300, eff: 65, rateD: 3, rateC: 2, specF: 100,
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priceStd: 3.8, premSpec: 1.15, titleFee: 1155, cur: "USD", boi: "on", exportShare: 70,
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};
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// [group, id, label, value, unit, kind, source]
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@@ -444,13 +444,13 @@ grp("Money", [
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["thbUsd", "THB per USD", 33, "THB", "doc", "revenue-model.md and total-investment.md, FX of 5 August 2026"],
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["usdEur", "USD per EUR", 1.155, "USD", "doc", "revenue-model.md"],
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["overheads", "Cash overheads a year", 330000, "USD", "doc", "revenue-model.md: 200 to 450k (admin, sales, insurance, facility, IT, fees, marketing)"],
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["capexBase", "Capex, start fleet plan", 6800000, "USD", "doc", "total-investment.md: 4.7 to 8.9M full vision; added scope not yet rolled up"],
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["capexD", "Capex per Duplex system beyond two", 265000, "USD", "doc", "total-investment.md: system 2 ~230 to 300k, estimate"],
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["capexBase", "Capex, launch plant", 6550000, "USD", "doc", "total-investment.md launch plant (October 2026): 4.9 to 8.9M USD, 161 to 292M THB; the investor target 216M THB"],
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["capexD", "Capex per Duplex system beyond one", 265000, "USD", "doc", "total-investment.md: system 2 ~230 to 300k, estimate"],
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["capexC", "Capex per Classic beyond one", 375000, "USD", "doc", "total-investment.md: ~290 to 460k, no Newbilt price on file"],
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["deprYears", "Depreciation period", 12.5, "years", "doc", "revenue-model.md: 10 to 15 years"],
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]);
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grp("BOI and imports", [
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["impMach", "Imported machinery in the start-fleet capex", 2750000, "USD", "doc", "total-investment.md block midpoints at vendor prices: presses 1.0M, galvanics 485k, Sibert 250k, lathe system 435k, metrology 580k; added presses count as imported"],
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["impMach", "Imported machinery in the launch-plant capex", 2300000, "USD", "doc", "total-investment.md launch plant, block midpoints at vendor prices: Duplex 360k, Classic 375k, galvanics 485k, Sibert 250k, Sillitoe SDMS 125k, metrology 580k, ZLD ~120k; added presses count as imported"],
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["dutyMach", "Import duty on that machinery without BOI", 5, "%", "est", "Estimate: Thai MFN averages 4.1 % on HS 8477 plastics machinery (customs-compliance.ai, March 2026), 0 to 10 % across HS 84; set per line once the HS codes are known"],
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["vatRate", "VAT", 7, "%", "doc", "Thai VAT; with BOI duty exemption the import VAT is exempt too (Revenue Department, BOI OSOS FAQ; boi.md)"],
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["pvcImp", "Share of PVC compound imported", 100, "%", "est", "Estimate: record-grade compound from the specialist suppliers"],
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@@ -507,7 +507,7 @@ grp("Workwear: Engelbert Strauss for all staff", [
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]);
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grp("Planned plant, for the checks", [
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["boiler", "Steam boiler bank", 1000, "kg/h", "doc", "steam-cooling.html and scale.md: 2 × 500 kg/h modules (proposal, estimate)"],
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["chiller", "Chiller bank", 750, "kW", "doc", "steam-cooling.html and scale.md: 3 × 250 kW air-cooled modules (proposal, estimate)"],
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["chiller", "Chiller bank", 500, "kW", "doc", "scale.md launch plant: 2 × 250 kW air-cooled modules (CH-1, CH-2; proposal, estimate); compound built for four"],
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["hall", "Payap press hall", 870, "m²", "doc", "site-candidates.md, Payap scenario model"],
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]);
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const A0 = Object.fromEntries(AS.map(r => [r[1], r[3]]));
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@@ -517,9 +517,9 @@ const CASES = {
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adverse: { S: { priceStd: 3.4, premSpec: 0.6, titleFee: 580 },
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A: { pvcPrice: 2.9, labelCost: 0.09, sleeveCost: 0.17, jacketCost: 0.92, shrinkCost: 0.03, maintCost: 0.23, overheads: 450000, capexBase: 8900000, heatPrice: 0.9, deprYears: 10 } },
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central: { S: { priceStd: 3.8, premSpec: 1.15, titleFee: 1155 },
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A: { pvcPrice: 2.3, labelCost: 0.06, sleeveCost: 0.13, jacketCost: 0.66, shrinkCost: 0.025, maintCost: 0.17, overheads: 330000, capexBase: 6800000, heatPrice: 0.7, deprYears: 12.5 } },
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A: { pvcPrice: 2.3, labelCost: 0.06, sleeveCost: 0.13, jacketCost: 0.66, shrinkCost: 0.025, maintCost: 0.17, overheads: 330000, capexBase: 6550000, heatPrice: 0.7, deprYears: 12.5 } },
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favourable: { S: { priceStd: 4.25, premSpec: 1.7, titleFee: 1730 },
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A: { pvcPrice: 1.75, labelCost: 0.03, sleeveCost: 0.09, jacketCost: 0.4, shrinkCost: 0.02, maintCost: 0.12, overheads: 200000, capexBase: 4700000, heatPrice: 0.5, deprYears: 15 } },
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A: { pvcPrice: 1.75, labelCost: 0.03, sleeveCost: 0.09, jacketCost: 0.4, shrinkCost: 0.02, maintCost: 0.12, overheads: 200000, capexBase: 4900000, heatPrice: 0.5, deprYears: 15 } },
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};
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function caseNow() {
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for (const k in CASES) {
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@@ -529,7 +529,7 @@ function caseNow() {
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return "";
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}
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const LADDER = [
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["Start fleet (current plan)", 2, 1], ["Step 1", 2, 3], ["Step 2", 2, 5], ["Step 3", 2, 8],
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["Launch plant", 1, 1], ["Second Duplex", 2, 1], ["Step 1", 2, 3], ["Step 2", 2, 5], ["Step 3", 2, 8],
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["Full hall, Classic-led", 2, 11], ["Full hall, mixed", 4, 7], ["Full hall, specials-led", 6, 3],
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];
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@@ -679,7 +679,7 @@ function econ(r, b, boiOn = S.boi !== "off") {
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`${f1(h.prod * A.wwProdYr)} production and ${f1(h.office * A.wwOffYr)} office kits a year, shipping and Thai duty included`);
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const sum = gs => L.filter(l => gs.includes(l[0])).reduce((a, l) => a + l[2], 0);
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const direct = L.reduce((a, l) => a + l[2], 0), contrib = rev - direct, ebitda = contrib - A.overheads;
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const fleetDelta = (r.D - 2) * A.capexD + (r.C - 1) * A.capexC;
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const fleetDelta = (r.D - 1) * A.capexD + (r.C - 1) * A.capexC;
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const imp = Math.max(0, A.impMach + fleetDelta);
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const dutyM = boiOn ? 0 : imp * A.dutyMach / 100, vatM = boiOn ? 0 : (imp + dutyM) * A.vatRate / 100;
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const capex = A.capexBase + fleetDelta + dutyM, depr = capex / Math.max(1, A.deprYears);
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