Share price for the 40 %: market-based ranges, deck slide 13
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User, 20 Oct 2026: add a page about possible share prices, do some calculation on normal market data. - docs/finance/share-price.md (new): market data with sources and dates (Damodaran January 2026 EV/EBITDA, P/E and betas for emerging markets and global; Thailand ERP 6.18 % (July 2026); ThaiBMA 10-year 2.30 % (19 Oct 2026); illiquidity discount 20 to 35 %; venture target returns by stage; SET peers SCGP, TPAC, SITHAI, GRAMMY; Thai Civil and Commercial Code on par value and premiums). - Results, all estimates: A founding round at par, pari passu: 542,500 shares of 100 THB at Plan B's 54.25M equity floor, the 40 % ~21.7M THB; B a premium only for documented pre-round costs (102 to 137 THB); C value per share once running at ~163M THB debt: adverse ~0, central 126 to 1,016 THB, favourable 508 to 2,512 THB; D a financial investor today 18 to 236 THB (central); E calculator cross-check. Recommendation: par for the founding round; pre-emption and information rights for the 40 %. - Deck: new slide 13 "Share price: what the 40 % could cost" in both themes, with notes; the ask slide points to it; 17 slides, both PDFs rebuilt; site slide notes trimmed. - README bullet, layout line and Project Status link; total-investment shareholding paragraph links the page.
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@@ -86,6 +86,7 @@ steps are open planning items.
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Plan B** (19 October 2026); the investor deck leads with it. The main
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investor holds **at least 60 % of the company**, so at most 40 % is for
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sale to co-investors (Ploy Printing, the founders, others;
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[possible share prices](docs/finance/share-price.md);
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[shareholding](docs/finance/total-investment.md#two-plans-a-at-180m-thb-and-b-at-215m-thb-october-2026),
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20 October 2026).
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Chinese boilers, compressor and hydraulics save about 2M THB of that
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@@ -325,7 +326,15 @@ The detail lives in dedicated documents:
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same output, payback ~3.8 years on ~217M THB: its extra pays back
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through what the table leaves out), the five-press table, and the levers and
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caveats behind the numbers
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- [Investor deck](docs/pitch/index.html) (October 2026): the plant in 16
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- [Share price](docs/finance/share-price.md): possible prices for the 40 %
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of the company open to co-investors (the lead investor holds at least
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60 %), from market data (Damodaran industry multiples, the Thai risk
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premium and bond yield, illiquidity discounts, venture target returns,
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Thai listed peers): the founding round at par (~21.7M THB for 40 % at
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Plan B's equity floor), a premium only for documented pre-round costs,
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and what a share could be worth once the plant runs, with the adverse
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case at zero
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- [Investor deck](docs/pitch/index.html) (October 2026): the plant in 17
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web slides for BOI, bank and institutional readers, proposing Plan B
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(~215M THB) with Plan A as the comparison, in a light and a dark theme
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(press T), with a presenter view (press P) and a PDF of each theme
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@@ -381,7 +390,7 @@ docs/
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│ │ bill of materials)
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│ └── pressing-line.md Press fleet strategy and equipment plan
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├── finance/ Project cost overviews, revenue model,
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│ construction RFQ, PEA electricity tariff
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│ share price, construction RFQ, PEA electricity tariff
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│ schedule (pea/), biomass fuel market
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│ reports (biomass/)
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├── suppliers/ Supplier contacts, vendor landscape, supplier map,
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