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Northern-Thailand-Ping-Rive…/scripts/retrain.sh
T
grabowski 7e642555b4 chore: remove the Python service; Python is the training stack only
Phase 4 of docs/RUST_REWRITE.md. Since 2026-10-18 ping-collector (rust/)
collects, forecasts, notifies (ntfy + Matrix) and serves the website/API;
nothing in production ran the Python service code any more.

Removed (~17k lines): the FastAPI app (web_api, schemas, health_check,
metrics, postgres_history, forecast_history, thaiwater), the Python RID
collector and CLI (water_scraper_v3, main, run.py), the notifier and Matrix
alerting (notify, alerting), the multi-backend adapters (SQLite, MySQL,
InfluxDB, VictoriaMetrics) with demo databases, models/validators/exceptions/
logging/rate limiter, ml/skill.py (served by Rust now), the migration tooling
(api_parity, collector_parity, e2e_notify, install_collector.sh,
gen_notify_cases.py, spikes/rust-forecast), Docker/compose/Grafana files,
sql/, the release workflow and the docs for all of that. Their tests went
with them.

Kept in Python: src/ml (training, evaluation harness, export; predict.py as
the reference the Rust forecaster is tested against), the HII and RID-dam
clients/stores for the archive backfills (their live collectors removed),
the backfill scripts, retrain.sh + timer, forecast_parity.py.

- PostgreSQL only: src/config.py is database_url() from POSTGRES_* / .env;
  the stores lost their sqlite/mysql branches (and the 2026-08 column
  migration). The database tests run against a throwaway schema from
  TEST_DATABASE_URL (tests/conftest.py pg_url, skipped without it), as the
  Rust tests do; CI gets a PostgreSQL service. 100 tests (66 without a DB).
- The notifier settings moved from src/notify.py into src/ml/export.py;
  flood_config.json regenerates byte-identical.
- tests/test_dashboard.py checks every path the dashboard fetches against
  ping-collector's router.
- Dependencies: fastapi, uvicorn, pydantic, influxdb, pymysql, psutil,
  schedule, sphinx, pyinstaller, mypy, pytest-asyncio dropped; python-dotenv
  1.1.1 explicit (it came in through uvicorn[standard]).
- Formatting contract extended to scripts/ and tests/ (reformatted once).
- scripts/install.sh is the one installer (fresh host or update, in place in
  a checkout without touching its ownership): binary, units, uv sync, .env
  defaults, removes the retired water-monitor.service and any old
  --alert-check cron job, dry run + forecast check, restart, readiness wait.
- Docs, CLAUDE.md, CONTRIBUTING.md, .env.example, Makefile, unit comments
  and Rust doc comments updated to the Rust service.
2026-10-18 17:15:07 +07:00

92 lines
3.6 KiB
Bash

#!/usr/bin/env bash
#
# Retrain the flood forecast models safely. Run by water-monitor-retrain.timer
# (monthly) or by hand: sudo systemctl start water-monitor-retrain.service
#
# Why a script rather than ExecStart=train_flood_model.py:
# * train.py writes each station's bundle straight into models/ over ~12 min,
# and ping-collector reloads bundles by mtime on every forecast run.
# Training into a staging dir and mv-ing (atomic on one filesystem) means
# it never sees a half-written bundle or a mixed old/new set.
# * A run that produced gauge-only (v2) bundles, or trained too few stations,
# must NOT replace the deployed models. train.py already aborts on a
# missing rain series; this script re-checks the written metrics anyway.
# * No restart is needed: ping-collector reloads changed bundles
# (models/flood_*.json.gz, written by train.py next to each .joblib) on
# its next forecast run, so the new models are live within an hour.
#
# Exit codes: 0 ok, 2 training refused (see log), 3 verification failed.
set -euo pipefail
APP_DIR="${APP_DIR:-/opt/thailand-water-monitor}"
PYTHON="${PYTHON:-${APP_DIR}/.venv/bin/python}"
MODELS_DIR="${APP_DIR}/models"
STAGE_DIR="${MODELS_DIR}/.staging"
# P.4A is NOT_TRAINABLE by design (17% fill); 15 of 16 is the normal outcome.
MIN_TRAINED="${MIN_TRAINED:-14}"
EXPECT_VERSION_PREFIX="${EXPECT_VERSION_PREFIX:-hgb-v3+}"
log() { printf '%s retrain: %s\n' "$(date '+%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S')" "$*"; }
cd "${APP_DIR}"
[ -x "${PYTHON}" ] || { log "no interpreter at ${PYTHON} (run uv sync)"; exit 3; }
rm -rf "${STAGE_DIR}"
mkdir -p "${STAGE_DIR}"
log "training into ${STAGE_DIR} (python=${PYTHON}, OMP_NUM_THREADS=${OMP_NUM_THREADS:-unset})"
# train_flood_model.py exits 2 on a missing rain series (RainUnavailableError)
# instead of silently writing v2 bundles -- propagate that unchanged.
set +e
"${PYTHON}" scripts/train_flood_model.py --stations all --models-dir "${STAGE_DIR}" "$@"
rc=$?
set -e
if [ "${rc}" -ne 0 ]; then
log "training failed (exit ${rc}); deployed models untouched"
rm -rf "${STAGE_DIR}"
exit "${rc}"
fi
# Verify before promoting. Reads metrics.json from the stage dir.
VERSION="$("${PYTHON}" - "${STAGE_DIR}/metrics.json" <<'PY'
import json, sys
m = json.load(open(sys.argv[1]))
print(m["model_version"])
PY
)"
TRAINED="$("${PYTHON}" - "${STAGE_DIR}/metrics.json" <<'PY'
import json, sys
m = json.load(open(sys.argv[1]))
print(sum(1 for s in m["stations"].values() if s.get("status") == "trained"))
PY
)"
log "staged model_version=${VERSION} trained_stations=${TRAINED}"
case "${VERSION}" in
"${EXPECT_VERSION_PREFIX}"*) ;;
*)
log "REFUSING to deploy: version '${VERSION}' does not start with '${EXPECT_VERSION_PREFIX}'"
rm -rf "${STAGE_DIR}"
exit 3
;;
esac
if [ "${TRAINED}" -lt "${MIN_TRAINED}" ]; then
log "REFUSING to deploy: only ${TRAINED} stations trained (< ${MIN_TRAINED})"
rm -rf "${STAGE_DIR}"
exit 3
fi
# Promote: per-file rename is atomic; readers see either the old or the new
# bundle, never a partial one. Keep one previous generation for rollback.
mkdir -p "${MODELS_DIR}/.previous"
# flood_*.json.gz is the Rust forecaster's export of the same bundle.
for f in "${STAGE_DIR}"/flood_*.joblib "${STAGE_DIR}"/flood_*.json.gz "${STAGE_DIR}/metrics.json"; do
name="$(basename "${f}")"
if [ -f "${MODELS_DIR}/${name}" ]; then
mv -f "${MODELS_DIR}/${name}" "${MODELS_DIR}/.previous/${name}"
fi
mv -f "${f}" "${MODELS_DIR}/${name}"
done
rm -rf "${STAGE_DIR}"
log "deployed ${VERSION} (${TRAINED} stations); previous generation in models/.previous. ping-collector loads it on its next forecast run."