6 Commits

Include renames

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
grabowski	5dc5850df6	docs: source sweep — P.75 already is the Mae Ngat release signal ... Verified from a Thai ISP that lsim.rid.go.th is unreachable (not geo-blocked), then swept for any better-than-daily Mae Ngat source. Key finding: P.75 sits 3.8 km below the dam, reports hourly, and has been a model feature since v1 — the model has always read the dam's actual outflow, hourly and directly. That is the likelier reason the daily reservoir table adds nothing, beyond its publication lag. Intraday reservoir feeds do exist and are open (bigdata-api.rid.go.th SWOC, ThaiWater ridhydro_TUP.16 at the dam) but are snapshot-only with no archive, so they cannot retrain against past events; the HII collector accumulates them from 2026-08-11 for a post-monsoon revisit. Also documents api/dam (whole per-dam range in one request, vs the ~2,900-request per-day loop) and several cross-check mirrors.	2026-08-13 21:58:47 +07:00
grabowski	70e4da07a0	docs: lsim.rid.go.th is unreachable, not geo-blocked ... Probed from a Thai consumer ISP (AIS Fibre): DNS resolves but ICMP and ports 80/443/8080 are filtered, while app.rid.go.th answers in 0.27 s over the same connection. Correct the earlier note that assumed the timeout was a foreign-network block, and stop pointing the dam-feature follow-up at a host that cannot be reached.	2026-08-13 21:00:24 +07:00
grabowski	6eafb353b1	feat: RID large-dam daily collector — Mae Ngat storage/inflow/outflow ... POST app.rid.go.th/reservoir/api/dams (open, archive >=2009) collected hourly into rid_dams + rid_reservoir_daily; backfill script fetches only missing days so reruns repair holes and are safe alongside the live collector. /api/stats counts the new table via an engine fallback that works when HII collection is disabled. Mae Ngat (DAM_ID 200103) hit 113% usable capacity with ~19 MCM/day inflow in the Oct 2024 flood — candidate features for the next retrain.	2026-08-13 10:29:34 +07:00
grabowski	df0ae8cda3	feat: hgb-v3 — Open-Meteo rain features clear the 12h warning gate ... The rolling-origin harness (models/eval_rain.json) showed catchment rain halving flood-year Brier scores, cutting flood-regime MAE 20-40%, and extending the hard 2024 leads (+6h -> +11h at P.1, +10h -> +19h at P.103). Ported: train_all loads the catchment-mean series (use_rain / --no-rain to opt out; without it bundles train as v2), predict fetches live rain hourly and passes an empty series on failure so rain-trained bundles serve with NaN features instead of tripping the feature guard, and the leader worker persists hourly per-point + catchment-mean rows to a new openmeteo_rain table. Regenerated backtest: the 2024 record flood now gets a 13-HOUR WARNING (alert 04:00 vs 17:00 crossing, river at 2.9m at alert time) — the >=12h acceptance gate PASSES for the first time. Journey on that crossing: v1 -18h, v2 +6h, v3 +13h. The marginal 2025 double-crest trades its artifact +46h latch for a calibrated +2h with zero false alarms. P.1 MAE 4.9/7.2/8.7 cm at 6/12/24h. Docs updated throughout.	2026-08-12 17:05:01 +07:00
grabowski	d72496f404	feat: backfill hii_waterlevel from the HII waterlevel_graph archive ... scripts/backfill_hii_waterlevel.py walks the api-v3 waterlevel_graph endpoint (hourly wl_msl + discharge, archive back to ~2019) in full-year windows per station and upserts into hii_waterlevel. Defaults to the RID-mirror and key stations; --stations/--all/--start/--end/--chunk-days override. History upserts touch only wl_msl and discharge so colliding live-snapshot rows keep storage_percent/situation_level. Idempotent and safe to re-run.	2026-08-11 15:11:08 +07:00
grabowski	1845ef7203	feat: hourly HII/ThaiWater rainfall + backup water-level collection ... Poll the open api-v3.thaiwater.net public endpoints (rain_24h, waterlevel_load), filter to the Ping basin, and persist to new hii_rain_stations/hii_rainfall and hii_wl_stations/hii_waterlevel tables (auto-created; sqlite/postgresql/mysql). Water levels stay in their own tables since HII reports m MSL from a different station set; rid_code maps mirrors like ridhydro_P.1 to P.1 and offset_msl converts MSL to gauge datum. Runs every scraping cycle in web-api and continuous modes (hourly cadence even during 1-minute RID retry), one-shot via --collect-hii; docs/DATA_SOURCES.md catalogs all probed endpoints.	2026-08-11 14:44:53 +07:00