Hour-by-hour chart of the 25-28 Sep 2025 event as forecast by the exact
deployed configuration (trained through 2024, event unseen): first alert
26 Sep 18:00, flooding began 27 Sep 18:00 (24 h lead), predicted peak
4.00 m vs actual 3.93 m. The near-miss 3.51 m crest on 26 Sep correctly
never alerted.
