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cnx_vinyl/docs/finance/total-investment.md
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Archive room: mobile shelving for the father and mother archive
Planned (October 2026, user): the archive in the office gets mobile
archive shelving, A-Z Solutions (Vienna) as the reference
(a-z-solutions.eu, checked October 2026: hand wheel or electric drive,
lockable, rails need early floor planning; no published prices).

facility-security.md, new section under Protecting the irreplaceable:
what it holds (fathers and mothers, ~1,200 to 2,400 parts a year; a
reference pressing per title only as a proposal), sizing estimates (about
0.2 kg per part, ~3 mm and ~75 kg per shelf metre; in the Payap office's
~4 x 5.75 m room two fixed runs, four double carriages and one aisle hold
~150 shelf metres, ~50,000 parts, 20+ years), what it asks of the
building (ground slab at full rating, ~11 kN/m2 under the block; rails in
the screed fixed before the floor finish; geared hand wheel; gas,
climate, leak sensor, access control; barcoded box addresses), open
points (quotes from A-Z and a Thai supplier, storage format from the
galvanics vendors, fathers in a second compartment or off site).

Mirrors: site-candidates.md (office ground floor), phase 1 RFQ (archive
keeps the full slab rating if the slab is zoned), digital-factory.md
(archive location as box and shelf position, sets per mother),
equipment-suppliers.md (section 8 entry), total-investment.md added scope
(to quote, not in the sum).
2026-10-16 11:18:09 +07:00

9.2 KiB
Raw Blame History

Total Investment: Rough Picture

Everything priced or estimated so far, rolled into one view. Blocks marked "estimate" have no vendor confirmation; the rest trace to quotes or the researched ranges in this repo. Treat all figures as budgetary with a wide margin (plus or minus 30 to 50% on the estimates) until RFQs replace them.

Currency: USD and THB. FX at 5 August 2026: 1 USD = 33 THB. Vendor quotes issued in another currency are kept in that currency wherever they appear next to their source document, and converted here at 1 EUR = 1.155 USD and 1 GBP = 1.35 USD. Original figures compiled July 2026; the underlying THB estimates are unchanged, because EUR/THB at ~38 is where it was when they were made.

Full vision, all blocks

Block USD THB Basis
Newbilt semi-auto line, full Duplex 350k – 370k 11.5M – 12.2M 2024 quote EUR 200,500 (~USD 232k) + quoted 2nd press/extruder ~USD 115k; expired, needs re-quote. The fleet has since changed, see the added-scope table
2 automated presses (Pheenix AD12) 580k – 920k 19.1M – 30.5M unverified ~USD 340k/press indicative + delivery and commissioning. Replaced by the Newbilt Classic in the current fleet, see the added-scope table
Galvanics line (Digital Matrix or Pheenix Alpha) 320k – 650k 10.7M – 21.4M six-figure-USD turnkey inference from vendor research; the Pheenix range (2024 flyers, galvanics and stamper prep) is unpriced too; OMS's reference prices (letter, 9 October 2026) put a complete 4-cell wet room at EUR 224k basic to 311k advanced (~USD 259k to 359k; ~270k to 371k with know-how transfer), installation and water treatment extra: at or below this block's low end, kept until quotes exist
Zero-discharge water treatment (ZLD) 90k – 240k 3.0M – 8.0M utilities CSV option row
Stamper prep (Sibert VSP, VSF, VSC) 60k – 170k 1.9M – 5.7M estimate kept until the re-base; Sibert has since confirmed USD 250k for the three (its time, spares, shipping and travel extra), the difference is in the table below
Mastering and cutting room (Agnew or Sillitoe lathe system, cutter amps, console, room treatment) 290k – 580k 9.6M – 19.1M estimate, bespoke market; the Sillitoe SDMS lists at USD 125k for lathe, head, amplifier and automation (ex tax, shipping), which makes the low end reachable; band kept until both quotes exist
Metrology and QC stack (confocal, profiler, XRF, inline vision, audio station) 350k – 810k 11.5M – 26.7M estimate, phaseable
Utilities, solar, HVAC, racking baseline 730k – 1,270k 24.0M – 41.6M reviewed utilities CSV, THB-native; sized for one Duplex, the five-press re-size is in the table below
Building ~1,500 m² plus civil works 650k – 1,100k 21.4M – 36.2M estimate at 12,000–20,000 THB/m² Thai industrial construction plus ~20% site works
Land 6–8 rai, if purchased 360k – 970k 12.0M – 32.0M estimate at 2–4M THB/rai industrial; leasing cuts this to near zero upfront
Traceability and factory software 60k – 170k 1.9M – 5.7M estimate
Freight, installation, training (non-Newbilt equipment) 120k – 230k 3.8M – 7.6M estimate
Working capital, PVC stock, spares 120k – 230k 3.8M – 7.6M estimate
Subtotal ~4.1M – 7.7M ~135M – 254M
Contingency 15% ~0.6M – 1.2M ~20M – 38M
Total, full vision ~4.7M – 8.9M USD ~155M – 294M THB

Added scope, not yet in the roll-up

Decided, or re-priced by a vendor, after the roll-up above was compiled; carried here until the next re-base folds them into the blocks (the building, software and stamper prep lines, and the contingency on top).

Block USD THB Basis
Overhead crane, runway, frame premium, machine door 97k – 227k 3.2M – 7.5M estimate, crane, workshop and tours
Maintenance workshop and machine bay fit-out 30k – 76k 1.0M – 2.5M estimate, same
Visitor corridor and accessible entrance 67k – 148k 2.2M – 4.9M estimate, same
Artist platform, public side (calculator, campaigns, payments) 40k – 90k 1.3M – 3.0M estimate, artist platform
PVC material lab, day-one tier (incl. plaque press and sample conditioning) 55k – 150k 1.8M – 5.0M estimate, quality automation; not costed in the metrology block above. The mature tier (torque rheometer, DSC, FTIR, ~120k – 240k) is deferred, with partner labs in between
Stamper prep re-priced: USD 250k for VSP, VSF and VSC against the 60k – 170k block above +190k (low case) / +80k (high case) +6.3M / +2.6M Sibert's budget confirmation, email of 5 October 2026 (galvanics and stamper prep); itemised quotation to follow. Its time, spare parts, shipping and travel are extra and fall into the freight/installation and spares blocks above
Press fleet changed (October 2026) to two Newbilt Duplex systems (two presses each, EX 50 main extruder and EX 35 colour extruder) plus one Newbilt Classic, replacing the two blocks above (930k – 1,290k): Duplex system 1 as the first block (350k – 370k; the quote's second-extruder option becomes the EX 35), system 2 ~230k – 300k (two presses at the quoted ~115k per press and extruder set as the yardstick, plus hydraulic unit and EX 35, estimate; no EX 35 price on file), the Classic ~290k – 460k (the AD12 band per press as a placeholder; no Newbilt price on file) −60k (low case) / −160k (high case) −2.0M / −5.3M estimate, pressing line; the Newbilt re-quote replaces it. The utilities for five presses are re-sized in the row below
Utilities re-sized for the five-press fleet (October 2026): boiler bank 2 × 500 kg/h, chiller bank 3 × 250 kW with plate heat exchanger and tanks, larger softener and loop treatment (steam and cooling) +185k (low case) / +294k (high case) +6.1M / +9.7M estimate, utilities CSV re-based from 24.0M – 41.6M to 30.1M – 51.3M THB
Utility yard built for four boiler and four chiller modules (October 2026): yard ~379 m² against 178 m² (scale) 73k – 122k 2.4M – 4.0M estimate: the building rate above on the ~200 m² the yard grows by; the open chiller compound costs less than a building, so this is the cautious end. The valved branches and feeders for the empty positions are not priced yet
Archive mobile shelving for the father and mother archive (October 2026) to quote to quote not in the sum: A-Z Solutions publishes no prices; quote it and a Thai supplier (facility security)
Added so far ~678k – 1,027k ~22.3M – 33.9M about 13 to 17% on the full-vision subtotal

Phased entry

A credible launch phase is far smaller, roughly 1.7M to 2.9M USD (~57M to 95M THB):

  • Newbilt Single system (not Duplex yet)
  • Bridge stampers from Stamper Discs, so no galvanics line at launch
  • Basic QC (microscope, benchtop PVC lab, sampled listening), full metrology deferred; the PVC lab's day-one tier is the added-scope row above
  • Leased building instead of purchase, modest first solar array
  • Galvanics, the second Duplex system and the Classic, full metrology, and the biomass boiler follow as revenue-funded or second-round expansions

The planning already supports this: the Duplex-ready hydraulics, the bridge-supplier role for Stamper Discs, the staged electric-to-biomass steam path, and the phaseable metrology stack are all documented for exactly this reason.

What moves the number

  • BOI: machinery duty exemption applies across most of the equipment blocks, and the solar and automation spend converts into CIT-exemption headroom; the application precedes every purchase order (see boi.md). The blocks are vendor prices without Thai duty or import VAT, so the headline assumes promotion: without it, ~0.14M USD of duty and ~0.2M USD of import VAT (reclaimable later) come on top at the start fleet (estimate)
  • Buy vs lease on land and building swings roughly 1.0M to 2.1M USD (~34M to 69M THB) of upfront capital, and also moves the launch date by about three quarters — see project-timeline.md
  • Biggest uncertainty bands: metrology (partly a choice of ambition), the mastering/cutting room (bespoke vendor, no public pricing), the Newbilt Classic (no price on file), and land
  • Currency exposure is real and is not modelled here. Revenue is mostly USD/EUR from export customers, the cost base is mostly THB, and the largest single equipment block is EUR-denominated and unhedged against an order that will not be placed for roughly a year (see project-timeline.md). A 10% move in EUR/THB between now and the Newbilt order is worth ~USD 25–35k on that line alone. Ask for the re-quote to state its currency and validity period.
  • Every band narrows only with RFQs; the supplier map in equipment-suppliers.md lists who to ask