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grabowski b3e8e4272b Specials share 60 %+: revenue model, calculator and business plan re-based
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User (October 2026): "lets say 60+% special prints" (the plant focuses on
special prints, not mono colours).

- Specials (splatter, marble, colour effects) run only on the Duplex
  systems, so at 60 % the Duplex sets the launch plant's output: ~0.58 /
  0.74 / 0.90M records a year (was 0.71 / 0.84 / 0.97 at ~20 %), the
  Classic at about two thirds load. Full 60/40 hall: ~2.3 to 3.6M (Duplex
  -limited, Classics about half loaded); five-press fleet unchanged. A
  hall balanced by output at 60 % would give Duplex ~70 to 75 % of the
  floor (estimate; noted, not applied).
- Blended price 3.76 / 4.49 / 5.27 USD (standard 3.40 / 3.80 / 4.25 plus
  the 0.60 / 1.15 / 1.70 specials premium on 60 %). Launch operating
  picture: revenue 2.28 / 3.65 / 5.41M USD, EBITDA 0.23 / 1.73 / 3.79M,
  operating profit -0.66 / 1.21 / 3.46M, payback ~3.8 yr central,
  break-even ~0.25M records; adverse needs ~1.1M records to cover
  depreciation. Specials' extra direct cost (coloured compound, purge,
  trim only into black) is not in the cost table yet: flagged as an
  upper bound until compound quotes.
- Calculator default specials share 20 -> 60 % (planning rates keep the
  launch plant balanced at 850k: revenue 4.14M, EBITDA 2.07M, payback
  3.3 yr, cash payback year ~4.8, IRR ~18 %).
- revenue-model.md, scale.md, pressing-line.md, README; business plan
  draft 0.2 rebuilt (sections 1, 4, 9, risks).

Checks: calculator regression 0 fails, no page errors, node --check on
all scripts; PDF 47 pages, table of contents filled; no em dashes added.
2026-10-16 20:45:39 +07:00
grabowski 485b3b630a Plant and business plan calculator: configuration, investment, budget, ten-year cash
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User request (October 2026): an interactive business plan calculator
where the plant configuration is chosen and everything follows. Built
into the fleet calculator (same page and URL, one model):

- Plant configuration card: galvanics in-house or bought stampers (and
  Pheenix estimate vs OMS reference), mastering and cutting in-house or
  outsourced, metrology full or launch tier, cassette and CD-R, solar
  buy / PPA / none, electric or biomass steam, Thai or Chinese utilities,
  crane buy or rent, visitor corridor now or later, ramp-up reserve;
  stamper supply to other plants; disabled-not-hidden controls.
- Investment built from the total-investment blocks (low / mid / high,
  sources and kind badges); boiler and chiller modules sized from the
  fleet and flagged past the four positions; phase 2 building past the
  870 m2 press hall. Default reproduces 160.9 / 226.7 / 292.5M THB.
- Budget card against 180M and 216M THB; "Investor levers" preset gives
  193.6M mid, 203.6 to 213.6M with the reserve.
- Money follows the configuration: outsourced title steps passed through
  at cost (fee split 51.1 / 37.0 / 11.9 %), electric steam energy and
  demand charge, PPA power price, optional cassette/CD-R revenue.
- Ten-year cash view: editable ramp and discount rate, payback, NPV, IRR,
  chart and table; pre-tax, pre-financing sketch.
- Presets: launch plant, investor levers, lean, five-press, full hall.
- Verified headless on Edge: 62 checks, 390 / 1024 / 1440 px, dark and
  light, no overflow, no page errors.

Business plan 9.4 cross-check updated to the calculator's figures
(EBITDA 1.68M, payback 4.1 yr; cash payback year ~5.7, IRR ~13 %);
docx and pdf rebuilt. README and landing entry renamed.
2026-10-16 16:15:22 +07:00
grabowski d42e99389b Business plan draft 0.2: re-based on the launch plant
The investor business plan (docx + pdf) rebuilt for the launch plant
decided in October 2026: one Duplex system and one Classic, Pheenix
galvanics with zero discharge, the Sibert line, a Sillitoe cutting room,
modular steam and cooling (rooms for four), cassette and CD-R; no bridge
stampers, no outsourced cutting; second Duplex as a growth option.

- Part A: executive summary (what changed since 0.1, the numbers, the
  180M / 216M answer, first release marked open), reading guide, two
  price points (ResurRec and Record Industry), anatomy rewritten for
  Sillitoe, Pheenix, Sibert, Duplex + Classic, lead times without bridge
  stampers, new 4.8 artist platform, cassette 4.9, CD 4.10.
- Part B: traceability with ERPNext as system of record, metrology launch
  tier as the investor's choice, QC, efficiency (PEA tariff, utility
  modules, fuel open, Chinese boilers and DIW rules), site (Mueang Chi,
  Payap zoning result), building blocks, safety, BOI and licences with
  galvanics in the first factory licence.
- Part C: launch-plant investment table, the investor's question and
  levers, tranches, currency, operating picture of the launch plant,
  timeline with the metal path on the critical path, commissioning
  sequence and why the whole chain at launch, team, 22 risks, 17 phase 0
  actions, the ask.
- plan_lib: grid column widths so LibreOffice keeps table widths.
- export_pdf.py: LibreOffice UNO export that fills the table of
  contents (47 pages).
- README: total investment, revenue model and business plan bullets.
2026-10-16 16:01:25 +07:00
grabowski 3934dc1dc4 Add investor business plan (draft 0.1) with its Python builder
Leased land instead of purchase, in-house cassette duplication, CD-R
duplication with CD replication shown as a separate investor decision,
Ploy Printing as packaging partner and intended co-investor, and a
dedicated section on traceability, metrology, QC and efficiency.
2026-09-10 10:20:05 +02:00