Commit Graph
3 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
grabowski 9ff5feef11 Solar on every roof, BOI solar correction, open source section
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Solar (user, 17 Oct 2026: "use as much roof space as possible")
- PV on every roof and canopy: ~640 kWp on the Payap scenario plot
  (factory roof ~523, canopies ~54, flat office roof ~65 kWp around the
  AC units); ~300 kWp on the Mueang Chi hall. Calculator: pvKWp 640,
  new pvSelf 85 % (zero export, hourly sketch), PV cost per kWp times the
  array, office-roof PV in the iso view, roofs drawn full.
- 12.8M to 16.6M THB at 20 to 26 THB/W; CSV baseline 34.37M to 56.34M;
  launch plant ~168M / 231M / 294M THB with contingency; Plan B ~216M
  (label ~215M), ~39M above Plan A; Plan A unchanged (it leases the
  array), its solar lever ~17.5M. PV payback ~4.2 to 5.9 years.
- Permits (rooftop solar no factory licence since 28 Dec 2024, ERC
  exemption under 1,000 kVA, PEA zero export) and PPA discounts sourced
  in sustainability.md.

BOI correction
- Announcement 3/2568 (in force 1 July 2025) ended BOI promotion for
  solar installations; only the battery may qualify (12M THB per MW cap).
  Removed the "BOI solar measure" from boi.md, total-investment,
  revenue-model, sustainability, site-candidates and both plan versions;
  Plan B's case for owning the array is the PPA bill it avoids
  (~0.07M USD a year).

Open source (user, 17 Oct 2026)
- digital-factory.md "Open source throughout, and working with other
  plants": everything we run and build is open source on NixOS, our code
  published (licence to decide), vendor firmware the stated exception;
  later the stack and factory-automation services for other pressing
  plants, not in the revenue.
- Business plan section 5.6 plus an executive-summary bullet, reading
  guide and not-modelled mentions; draft 0.3 rebuilt (A 60, B 61 pages),
  renders re-made with the roofs full.
2026-10-17 17:22:57 +07:00
grabowski 3f33babdaa Plan B re-defined: the launch plant with everything in (~210M THB); front view on the cover
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- Plan B now starts like Plan A with one Duplex system and one Classic,
  but takes none of the six levers: owned solar and battery (with the BOI
  solar measure), the full metrology stack, the visitor corridor, cassette
  and CD-R, the bought crane and Thai-supplied utilities (user, 17 October
  2026). ~193.8M THB before the reserve, ~209M with it (~150M to 268M),
  ~32M (~18 %) more than Plan A; the second Duplex is a growth step from
  revenue in both (~15.4M THB, estimate).
- total-investment.md "Two plans" re-based (heading and anchor now
  "B at ~210M THB", README and roadmap links updated); revenue-model.md
  operating pictures: same volume and EBITDA as Plan A, depreciation on
  Plan B's capital (operating profit 1.26M USD central, payback ~3.7 yr);
  the extra earns nothing in the modelled table, which the docs say.
- Calculator: Plan B preset = the launch plant with contingency kept out
  (EBITDA 2.07M USD, cash payback year ~4.3, IRR ~21 %); budget card marks
  180M and 180M plus 25 %; preset label "Plan B (~210M, all in)".
- Business plan draft 0.3, both versions rebuilt: every Plan B branch of
  the three content files rewritten; renders regenerated with the
  isometric view turned to the front of the site (road, car park, office,
  corridor facade) for the cover and Figures 8 to 10.
2026-10-17 16:33:18 +07:00
grabowski bd357ab03f Business plan draft 0.3 in two versions: Plan A ~180M and Plan B ~225M THB
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- One build makes both documents: plan_variant.py switches the
  plan-specific text (pick / is_a / label); build_plan.py writes
  CNX-Vinyl-Business-Plan-A and -B (docx), export_pdf.py exports both PDFs
  with the table of contents filled in. Draft 0.2 (single launch-plant
  plan with contingency) is removed; it stays in the history.
- Plan A: the launch plant with every machine and six cost levers, ~177M
  THB with the ramp-up reserve, no contingency. Plan B: the second Duplex
  at launch, five presses, ~224M THB on the same basis. Each version reads
  as a complete plan with one table comparing it with the other; the
  216M investor-question text is gone, Pheenix is priced at OMS's
  reference plus 20 %.
- Calculator renders in both documents, each from its own preset: the
  plant at a glance (Figure 4), the budget check (Figure 5) and ten years
  of cash (Figure 6), in docs/renders/calculator/.
- Calculator budget card: the verdict and third KPI now name the tightest
  budget the midpoint fits (Plan A: 3.3M to spare under 180M; Plan B:
  0.8M under 225M) instead of always 225M.
- Fixes: CD replication cross-references point to section 4.10; the
  blended price in section 3.3 and roadmap item 1 is 3.76 to 5.27 USD at
  60 % specials (3.50 to 4.60 at a standard-heavy mix).
2026-10-17 15:42:35 +07:00