Solar on every roof, BOI solar correction, open source section
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Solar (user, 17 Oct 2026: "use as much roof space as possible")
- PV on every roof and canopy: ~640 kWp on the Payap scenario plot
  (factory roof ~523, canopies ~54, flat office roof ~65 kWp around the
  AC units); ~300 kWp on the Mueang Chi hall. Calculator: pvKWp 640,
  new pvSelf 85 % (zero export, hourly sketch), PV cost per kWp times the
  array, office-roof PV in the iso view, roofs drawn full.
- 12.8M to 16.6M THB at 20 to 26 THB/W; CSV baseline 34.37M to 56.34M;
  launch plant ~168M / 231M / 294M THB with contingency; Plan B ~216M
  (label ~215M), ~39M above Plan A; Plan A unchanged (it leases the
  array), its solar lever ~17.5M. PV payback ~4.2 to 5.9 years.
- Permits (rooftop solar no factory licence since 28 Dec 2024, ERC
  exemption under 1,000 kVA, PEA zero export) and PPA discounts sourced
  in sustainability.md.

BOI correction
- Announcement 3/2568 (in force 1 July 2025) ended BOI promotion for
  solar installations; only the battery may qualify (12M THB per MW cap).
  Removed the "BOI solar measure" from boi.md, total-investment,
  revenue-model, sustainability, site-candidates and both plan versions;
  Plan B's case for owning the array is the PPA bill it avoids
  (~0.07M USD a year).

Open source (user, 17 Oct 2026)
- digital-factory.md "Open source throughout, and working with other
  plants": everything we run and build is open source on NixOS, our code
  published (licence to decide), vendor firmware the stated exception;
  later the stack and factory-automation services for other pressing
  plants, not in the revenue.
- Business plan section 5.6 plus an executive-summary bullet, reading
  guide and not-modelled mentions; draft 0.3 rebuilt (A 60, B 61 pages),
  renders re-made with the roofs full.
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@@ -51,7 +51,7 @@ on two shifts (estimate: the [scale](../scale.md) basis gives ~0.71 to
| Cutting room: Sillitoe SDMS, spare cutterhead and support, mastering console and chain, monitoring, room build-out | 200k – 350k | 6.6M – 11.6M | SDMS list price USD 125k (ex tax and shipping); the rest estimate |
| Metrology and QC stack (XRF, laser confocal, wide-area profiler, inline vision on three presses, audio station) | 350k – 810k | 11.6M – 26.7M | estimate, phaseable ([quality automation](../quality-automation.md)) |
| PVC lab, day-one tier | 55k – 150k | 1.8M – 5.0M | estimate, [quality automation](../quality-automation.md) |
| Utilities, solar, battery, HVAC, clean zones, racking | 835k – 1,439k | 27.6M – 47.5M | [utilities CSV](utilities-investment.csv) baseline re-sized for three presses: chiller bank two modules instead of three; solar at 20 to 26 THB/W installed and the battery installed (Thai market prices checked October 2026, sources in the CSV) |
| Utilities, solar, battery, HVAC, clean zones, racking | 1,042k – 1,707k | 34.4M – 56.3M | [utilities CSV](utilities-investment.csv) baseline re-sized for three presses: chiller bank two modules instead of three; PV on every roof and canopy (~640 kWp, user decision 17 October 2026) at 20 to 26 THB/W installed and the battery installed (Thai market prices checked October 2026, sources in the CSV) |
| Building ~1,500 m² plus civil and site works | 650k – 1,100k | 21.4M – 36.3M | estimate at 12,000 – 20,000 THB/m² plus ~20 % site works; soil is the main variable |
| Overhead crane, runway, frame premium, machine door | 97k – 227k | 3.2M – 7.5M | estimate, [crane, workshop and tours](../crane-workshop-tours.md) |
| Maintenance workshop and machine bay fit-out | 30k – 76k | 1.0M – 2.5M | estimate, same |
@@ -61,9 +61,9 @@ on two shifts (estimate: the [scale](../scale.md) basis gives ~0.71 to
| Cassette duplication and CD-R duplication | 55k – 190k | 1.8M – 6.3M | estimate, business plan sections 4.8 and 4.9 |
| Freight, installation, commissioning, training (Pheenix, Sibert, Sillitoe, Newbilt beyond its quoted 5 days) | 150k – 300k | 5.0M – 9.9M | estimate |
| Working capital, PVC stock, spares, lease deposit, first-year rent | 135k – 290k | 4.5M – 9.6M | estimate; land is leased, so no land purchase |
| Subtotal | ~4.22M – 7.47M | ~139M – 246M | midpoint ~5.84M USD, ~193M THB |
| Contingency 15 % | ~0.63M – 1.12M | ~21M – 37M | |
| **Total, launch plant** | **~4.85M – 8.6M USD** | **~160M – 283M THB** | midpoint ~6.72M USD, ~222M THB |
| Subtotal | ~4.42M – 7.73M | ~146M – 255M | midpoint ~6.08M USD, ~201M THB |
| Contingency 15 % | ~0.66M – 1.16M | ~22M – 38M | |
| **Total, launch plant** | **~5.1M – 8.9M USD** | **~168M – 294M THB** | midpoint ~6.99M USD, ~231M THB |
Not in the total: a **reserve for the ramp-up** (staff hired before first
revenue, overheads until volume covers them; ~10M to 20M THB, estimate),
@@ -78,7 +78,7 @@ import VAT paid at the border and reclaimed later (estimates).
### The investor's question: 180M THB, maybe 20 % more (October 2026)
*Superseded by [Two plans](#two-plans-a-at-180m-thb-and-b-at-210m-thb-october-2026)
*Superseded by [Two plans](#two-plans-a-at-180m-thb-and-b-at-215m-thb-october-2026)
below. Written against the earlier Pheenix estimate (USD 320k to 650k,
total ~227M THB at the midpoint); its galvanics lever is now the base
price.*
@@ -131,7 +131,7 @@ building RFQ with a soil test, and distributor quotes for the metrology
stack. Until they are in, quote **~216M THB** to the investor as the
target with the levers above, and 180M as the low-quote case.
## Two plans: A at ~180M THB and B at ~210M THB (October 2026)
## Two plans: A at ~180M THB and B at ~215M THB (October 2026)
Decided (user, October 2026): the business plan comes in **two
versions** for the investor, built from the same documents:
@@ -139,12 +139,16 @@ versions** for the investor, built from the same documents:
- **Plan A, ~180M THB**: the launch plant with every machine decided
above (one Duplex system, one Classic, galvanics, Sibert, the cutting
room), brought down with six cost levers.
- **Plan B, ~210M THB**: the same launch plant, one Duplex system and
- **Plan B, ~215M THB**: the same launch plant, one Duplex system and
one Classic, with everything in: none of Plan A's six levers taken.
First drawn as five presses at ~225M THB (Plan A plus 25 %); re-defined
by the user on 17 October 2026 ("plan b should also only start with 1
duplex and 1 classic, but with all levers"). In both plans the second
Duplex system is a growth step from revenue.
Duplex system is a growth step from revenue. On 17 October 2026 the
solar array was sized to every roof and canopy (~640 kWp, "use as much
roof space as possible"); that raised Plan B from ~208M to ~216M and
Plan A's solar lever from ~9.7M to ~17.5M, and left Plan A's price as
it was, because Plan A leases the array.
Both are priced **without contingency** (user decision) and **with the
ramp-up reserve**, because the reserve is cash the investor puts in
@@ -153,8 +157,8 @@ reference plus 20 % in both. Midpoints, estimates:
| Plan A: launch plant with six levers | Saves | Subtotal after it |
|---|---|---|
| Launch plant, every block, no contingency | | ~192.8M THB (~5.84M USD) |
| Rooftop solar and battery through a solar PPA (the installer owns and finances the array, the plant buys the power) | ~9.7M | ~183.1M |
| Launch plant, every block, no contingency | | ~200.6M THB (~6.08M USD) |
| Solar (~640 kWp on every roof and canopy) and battery through a solar PPA (the installer owns and finances the array, the plant buys the power) | ~17.5M | ~183.1M |
| Metrology launch tier: XRF, inline vision and audio station at launch; laser confocal and wide-area profiler (USD 180k to 350k) bought from revenue | ~8.8M | ~174.4M |
| Visitor corridor built later; no public tours at first | ~3.6M | ~170.8M |
| Cassette and CD-R duplication later | ~4.0M | ~166.8M |
@@ -165,14 +169,14 @@ reference plus 20 % in both. Midpoints, estimates:
| Plan B: the launch plant, everything in | USD | THB |
|---|---|---|
| Launch plant, every block, no contingency (the six lever items included: owned solar and battery ~9.7M, full metrology ~8.8M, visitor corridor ~3.6M, cassette and CD-R ~4.0M, bought crane ~3.2M, Thai boilers and compressor ~1.9M, together ~31M THB at the midpoint) | 4.22M – 7.47M | ~139M – 246M, **~192.8M (~5.84M USD)** at the midpoint |
| Launch plant, every block, no contingency (the six lever items included: owned solar (~640 kWp) and battery ~17.5M, full metrology ~8.8M, visitor corridor ~3.6M, cassette and CD-R ~4.0M, bought crane ~3.2M, Thai boilers and compressor ~1.9M, together ~39M THB at the midpoint) | 4.42M – 7.73M | ~146M – 255M, **~200.6M (~6.08M USD)** at the midpoint |
| Ramp-up reserve | | +10M to 20M |
| **Plan B** | | **~208M THB (~6.30M USD): ~210M**, ~149M to 266M from the low to the high end of every block |
| **Plan B** | | **~216M THB (~6.53M USD): ~215M**, ~156M to 275M from the low to the high end of every block |
Plan B costs ~31M THB (~18 %) more than Plan A and, at the midpoint,
stays within the investor's 180M THB plus 20 % (its high end, ~266M, does
not). It keeps what Plan A leases or defers:
owned solar and battery (and with them the BOI solar measure), the full
Plan B costs ~39M THB (~22 %) more than Plan A and, at the midpoint,
stays just within the investor's 180M THB plus 20 % (216M; its high end,
~275M, does not). It keeps what Plan A leases or defers:
owned solar on every roof and canopy and the battery, the full
metrology stack from the first release, the visitor corridor and tours
from the start, cassette and CD-R, the bought crane, Thai-supplied
utilities with local service. Both plans have the same three presses and
@@ -186,22 +190,26 @@ both as presets.
- **Contingency.** The blocks are budgetary (plus or minus 30 to 50 % on
the estimates, top of this page), so the plans carry no buffer for
quotes landing high. At this page's 15 % that would be ~24M THB on
Plan A and ~29M on Plan B at the midpoint.
Plan A and ~30M on Plan B at the midpoint.
- The central hydraulic plant (not costed yet), the archive's mobile
shelving (to quote), CD replication, financing costs, currency moves,
and Thai duty and import VAT (the blocks assume BOI promotion).
**What decides between them:** not demand, since both make the same
records, but whether the investor funds ~31M THB more at launch for what
records, but whether the investor funds ~39M THB more at launch for what
Plan A leases or buys from revenue. On the modelled numbers Plan B's
extra earns nothing (same EBITDA, more depreciation, a longer payback);
its case rests on what the operating table leaves out: the BOI solar
measure (only an owned array qualifies), full stamper metrology for the
traceability pitch from the first release, tours and the Payap
programmes from day one, cassette and CD-R sales, and utilities with
local service. Most of Plan B's items can be added to Plan A later from
revenue; the solar measure and the corridor are cheaper to have from
the start. Both plans keep the second Duplex as a growth step, with its
extra earns little: the same EBITDA in the revenue model (the calculator
puts Plan B ~0.07M USD a year ahead, the PPA power bill its owned array
avoids), more depreciation and a longer payback;
its case rests on that bill and on what the operating table leaves out:
full stamper metrology for the traceability pitch from the first release,
tours and the Payap programmes from day one, cassette and CD-R sales, and
utilities with local service. The BOI no longer promotes solar
installations (Announcement 3/2568, in force 1 July 2025; only the
battery may still qualify, see [BOI](../boi.md)), so owning the array
earns no tax benefit, only the bill. Most of Plan B's items can be added
to Plan A later from revenue; the corridor is cheaper to have from the
start. Both plans keep the second Duplex as a growth step, with its
floor, utility positions and ring-main tees reserved: ~15.4M THB at the
midpoint for the system (~8.7M), a third chiller module CH-3 (~2.1M),
their freight and installation (~1.2M) and the working capital for the