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Add src/ml/ package predicting, per station and per 6/12/24 h horizon, the probability of exceeding warning (3.0 m) and danger (4.5 m) levels plus expected peak level, trained on the 592k-row PostgreSQL history: - features.py: hourly grid with coverage gating and no future leakage; upstream stations enter at empirically measured travel-time lags (P.20 +17h ... P.103 +1h vs P.1); hour-of-day deliberately excluded (it encodes the scrape schedule, not hydrology) - train.py: HistGradientBoosting regression + warn/danger classifier heads per station x horizon, >=30-positives gate with calibrated sigmoid-on-regression fallback, strict temporal splits, per-event lead-time evaluation; guards against sklearn 1.9.0 crash on degenerate feature columns - predict.py: bundle loading with feature-name checks, heuristic fallback tier, get_latest_forecasts() for the API; raises when no models are trained so the endpoint 503s instead of serving persistence output as forecasts - data.py: Postgres-first loader (FLOOD_ML_DB_URL override), HTTP API fallback (flagged: that path backfills synthetic discharge), csv.gz cache - /forecast endpoint (15-min TTL cache) + dashboard flood-risk panel (hidden until models exist) - docs/FLOOD_FORECASTING.md: full system doc with measured deployment numbers (~335 MB RSS, CPU negligible, ~6 min full retrain) and retraining policy Validation: out-of-sample backtest of the record 2024 flood season (train <= Aug 2024) alerted 24-48 h ahead of the Oct 5 peak; 2025-26 test split: P.1 6h PR-AUC 0.974, recall 98.3% at 1% false-alarm rate. Also: fix P.81 station coordinates (was Ban Pong/Ratchaburi, 493 km out of basin; now 18.6936 N 99.0819 E per RID station page), pin scikit-learn==1.9.0 and numpy<2, gitignore model artifacts (~100 MB, train on the server via scripts/train_flood_model.py).
151 lines
1.7 KiB
Plaintext
151 lines
1.7 KiB
Plaintext
# Python
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__pycache__/
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*.py[cod]
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*$py.class
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*.so
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.Python
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build/
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develop-eggs/
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dist/
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downloads/
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eggs/
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.eggs/
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lib/
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lib64/
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parts/
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sdist/
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var/
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wheels/
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share/python-wheels/
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*.egg-info/
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.installed.cfg
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*.egg
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PIPFILE.lock
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# Virtual environments
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.env
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.venv
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env/
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venv/
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ENV/
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env.bak/
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venv.bak/
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# IDE
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.vscode/
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.idea/
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*.swp
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*.swo
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*~
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# Kiro IDE (keep local only)
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.kiro/
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# Logs
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*.log
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logs/
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water_monitor.log
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water_monitor_performance.log
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# Database files
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*.db
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*.sqlite
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*.sqlite3
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water_levels.db
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demo_water_sqlite.db
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# Configuration files with secrets
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.env.local
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.env.production
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config.local.py
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# Docker
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.dockerignore
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# OS
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.DS_Store
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.DS_Store?
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._*
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.Spotlight-V100
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.Trashes
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ehthumbs.db
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Thumbs.db
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# Temporary files
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*.tmp
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*.temp
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temp/
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tmp/
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# Coverage reports
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htmlcov/
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.tox/
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.nox/
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.coverage
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.coverage.*
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.cache
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nosetests.xml
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coverage.xml
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*.cover
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*.py,cover
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.hypothesis/
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.pytest_cache/
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cover/
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# Jupyter Notebook
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.ipynb_checkpoints
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# pyenv
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.python-version
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# pipenv
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Pipfile.lock
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# PEP 582
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__pypackages__/
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# Celery
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celerybeat-schedule
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celerybeat.pid
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# SageMath parsed files
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*.sage.py
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# Environments
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.env
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.env.local
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.env.development.local
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.env.test.local
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.env.production.local
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# mypy
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.mypy_cache/
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.dmypy.json
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dmypy.json
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# Pyre type checker
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.pyre/
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# pytype static type analyzer
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.pytype/
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# Cython debug symbols
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cython_debug/
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# Docker volumes
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vm_data/
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grafana_data/
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# Runtime station config (persisted CRUD); bundled default lives in src/data/
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/stations.json
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# Ruflo local secrets and runtime data
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.env.*.local
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.claude-flow/data/
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.claude-flow/logs/
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.claude-flow/sessions/
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# Trained flood-forecast model artifacts (produced on the server, ~100 MB; see docs/FLOOD_FORECASTING.md)
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models/*.joblib
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models/cache/
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models/metrics.json
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