feat(forecast): Rust forecast crate, bit-for-bit with the Python serving path
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Phase 2a of docs/RUST_REWRITE.md. rust/forecast (ping-forecast) ports the serving half of src/ml: the HII mirror gap fill, the hourly grid, every feature (pandas' Kahan rolling sums included), the Mae Ngat dam frame, HistGradientBoosting tree inference, the heuristic fallback, stale-threshold handling and the P.1 flood-stage probabilities. Hand-over from Python (src/ml/export.py): - models/flood_<station>.json.gz next to each joblib bundle; train_all() writes it, retrain.sh promotes it, `python -m src.ml.export` exports existing ones. - rust/forecast/flood_config.json: thresholds, stages, leads and notify constants, compiled in. tests/test_model_export.py fails while it differs from the Python source. Parity (rust/forecast/tests/parity.rs, fixtures from testdata/gen_forecast_fixtures.py on the production code path): four scenarios incl. the 2024 flood with RID lagging behind HII. Merged readings, all features and all levels identical; with all 15 local models 377/384 probabilities bit-identical, the rest within 2 ulp (exp). Python refactor without behaviour change: predict.forecasts_from_long, and get_latest_forecasts/load_latest/serving_frame take now/rain for reproducible comparisons; the HII query orders its rows.
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@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
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[workspace]
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resolver = "3"
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members = ["collector"]
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members = ["collector", "forecast"]
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[workspace.package]
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# 1.88: edition 2024 let-chains, and dependencies (home, icu_*) need it. Distro
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@@ -15,6 +15,7 @@ repository = "https://git.b4l.co.th/B4L/Northern-Thailand-Ping-River-Monitor"
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anyhow = "1"
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chrono = { version = "0.4", default-features = false, features = ["std", "clock", "serde"] }
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clap = { version = "4", features = ["derive"] }
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flate2 = "1"
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log = "0.4"
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# native-tls (OpenSSL on Linux, SChannel on Windows), not rustls: app.rid.go.th (dams)
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# offers only TLS 1.2 CBC suites (ECDHE-RSA-AES256-SHA384), which rustls refuses.
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