diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index 96e38ac..e7ea3a9 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -225,11 +225,19 @@ The detail lives in dedicated documents: 1× is real time, up to 3600× (a day in 24 s); every station is clickable and names the source of its figures; on phones and tablets held sideways it pinch-zooms and opens station details in a side sheet -- [Press fleet calculator](docs/fleet-calculator.html): a single static - page for the business plan: set the records a year and the share of - splatter and specials, and it sizes the mix of Duplex systems (3 - records a minute each) and Classics (2 a minute) from the start fleet - of two Duplex and one Classic up to a full press hall, with the people, +- [Plant and business plan calculator](docs/fleet-calculator.html): a + single static page for the business plan: choose the plant + configuration (presses, galvanics in-house or bought stampers, cutting + in-house or outsourced, metrology tier, cassette and CD-R, solar bought, + PPA or none, steam fuel, Thai or Chinese utilities, crane, visitor + corridor) and it builds the investment from the cost blocks of the + total investment, checks it against the investor's 180M and 216M THB, + and runs the money a year and a ten-year cash view (payback, NPV, IRR, + pre-tax sketch), with presets from the launch plant to a full hall. Set + the records a year and the share of splatter and specials, and it sizes + the mix of Duplex systems (3 records a minute each) and Classics (2 a + minute) from the launch plant of one Duplex and one Classic up to a + full press hall, with the people, power, central hydraulics, steam, cooling, air, floor, compound and stampers that fleet needs, drawn as a live schematic of the machine park with the stamper line (lathe, Pheenix galvanics, Sibert prep) diff --git a/docs/business-plan/CNX-Vinyl-Business-Plan.docx b/docs/business-plan/CNX-Vinyl-Business-Plan.docx index 288a531..67e7965 100644 Binary files a/docs/business-plan/CNX-Vinyl-Business-Plan.docx and b/docs/business-plan/CNX-Vinyl-Business-Plan.docx differ diff --git a/docs/business-plan/CNX-Vinyl-Business-Plan.pdf b/docs/business-plan/CNX-Vinyl-Business-Plan.pdf index f96d554..191fd05 100644 Binary files a/docs/business-plan/CNX-Vinyl-Business-Plan.pdf and b/docs/business-plan/CNX-Vinyl-Business-Plan.pdf differ diff --git a/docs/business-plan/build/content_c.py b/docs/business-plan/build/content_c.py index 9314b46..f12695f 100644 --- a/docs/business-plan/build/content_c.py +++ b/docs/business-plan/build/content_c.py @@ -316,9 +316,12 @@ def blocks(): "direct payroll and leaves out indirect labour (supervision, planning, warehouse), freight, scrap " "above the reject allowance and sales commissions. **Treat the adverse column as the honest one " "until those lines exist.**", - "**This is a sensitivity, not a forecast.** The press fleet calculator, with its own cost build-up, " - "gives a somewhat better central picture at 850k records: revenue 3.75M, EBITDA 1.82M, operating " - "profit 1.29M USD, payback 3.6 years. Not modelled: cassette and CD-R lines, stamper supply to " + "**This is a sensitivity, not a forecast.** The plant and business plan calculator, with its own " + "cost build-up (it adds electric steam heat and the cutting engineer, which this table leaves " + "out), gives at 850k records: revenue 3.75M, EBITDA 1.68M, operating profit 1.13M USD, payback " + "4.1 years on a mature year; with a ramp of 35, 70 and 90 % in the first three years, cash " + "payback in year ~5.7 and ~13 % IRR over ten years, pre-tax and pre-financing (estimates). " + "Not modelled here: cassette and CD-R lines, stamper supply to " "other plants, dropshipping fees, and the ramp year. BOI tax exemptions shield part of early-year " "profits where there are any.", ]), diff --git a/docs/fleet-calculator.html b/docs/fleet-calculator.html index b2e9666..2c7b868 100644 --- a/docs/fleet-calculator.html +++ b/docs/fleet-calculator.html @@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ -