diff --git a/modules/monitoring/alerts.nix b/modules/monitoring/alerts.nix
index f71e4b6..311873f 100644
--- a/modules/monitoring/alerts.nix
+++ b/modules/monitoring/alerts.nix
@@ -59,6 +59,27 @@ in
           }
         ];
       }
+      {
+        name = "backup";
+        rules = [
+          {
+            alert = "BackupJobFailed";
+            expr = ''node_systemd_unit_state{name=~"borgbackup-job-.+\\.service",state="failed"} == 1'';
+            for = "5m";
+            labels.severity = "warning";
+            annotations.summary = "Backup job {{ $labels.name }} on {{ $labels.instance }} failed";
+            annotations.description = "The borgbackup run did not complete. Check `systemctl status {{ $labels.name }}` and `journalctl -u {{ $labels.name }}` on the client; `borgbackup-create` re-runs it.";
+          }
+          {
+            alert = "BackupStale";
+            expr = ''time() - node_systemd_timer_last_trigger_seconds{name=~"borgbackup-job-.+\\.timer"} > 93600'';
+            for = "30m";
+            labels.severity = "warning";
+            annotations.summary = "No successful backup on {{ $labels.instance }} for over 26h";
+            annotations.description = "The daily backup timer {{ $labels.name }} has not fired within its expected window; the most recent archive is stale. A value far above 26h (or no data) means backups have stopped entirely.";
+          }
+        ];
+      }
     ];
   };
 }