Contents
- Estates
- All-in cost per house
- Spec upgrade breakdown, Type A (2,897,400 THB)
- Attached garage (6.5 x 6 m, outside the airtight envelope)
- Estate infrastructure, flagship (118.45 M THB, 50 houses)
- Running costs per house per year (landlord)
- Gate and security staffing (docs/security-and-access.md)
- Density, gardens, park and sports (docs/site-plan.md)
- Component replacement reserve, Type A (full service)
- Rent the house has to earn (monthly; premium all-inclusive)
- What the all-inclusive rent covers (monthly, priced as a tenant would pay)
- Project totals, premium spec
- Sensitivity: flagship Type A premium
- Reverse view: maximum all-in cost for a given rent (5 % net)
- What the premium spec and full service cost (lean estate, Type A)
- Estate energy: shared grid, central battery (base configuration)
- PV and battery sizing, flagship (annual cost of energy, THB)
- Shared grid vs every house on its own (flagship)
- Tenant view: electricity
Model results (generated)
Generated by python model/cost_model.py. Do not edit by
hand; change the assumptions in the script (or model/estate_energy.py)
and re-run. All figures THB, estimates, 2026 prices. Premium rents are
all-inclusive (docs/operating-model.md).
Estates
| Estate | Land | Houses | Land cost | Infrastructure | Infra per house | Central battery | PV per house |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flagship: 34.3 rai, 50 houses round a natural park, Hang Dong / Nong Khwai area | 34.3237 rai @ 4.80 M/rai | 29xA, 17xB, 4xC | 164.75 M | 118.45 M | 2,368,940 | 530 kWh | 6 kWp (roof ready for 10) |
| Lean: 6.5 rai, 12 houses round a park, outer Hang Dong / Saraphi | 6.5 rai @ 2.50 M/rai | 12xA | 16.25 M | 34.53 M | 2,877,917 | 130 kWh | 6 kWp (roof ready for 10) |
| Pilot: 2 houses on a 0.6 rai serviced plot, Hang Dong | 0.6 rai @ 6.00 M/rai | 2xA | 3.60 M | 2.65 M | 1,325,000 | 30 kWh | 6 kWp (roof ready for 10) |
All-in cost per house
| Line | flagship A premium | flagship B premium | lean A premium | lean A standard | pilot A premium | flagship C premium |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Land incl. share of roads/common (m2) | 1,036 | 1,114 | 867 | 867 | 480 | 1,485 |
| Land | 3,200,993 | 3,442,013 | 1,394,792 | 1,394,792 | 1,854,000 | 4,588,403 |
| Estate infrastructure share (incl. shared grid, battery, water plant) | 2,368,940 | 2,368,940 | 2,877,917 | 1,787,667 | 1,325,000 | 2,368,940 |
| Base build (TAF medium x GFA) | 2,502,000 | 3,336,000 | 2,502,000 | 2,502,000 | 2,502,000 | 4,170,000 |
| Spec upgrades (see breakdown) | 2,897,400 | 3,472,000 | 2,897,400 | 131,000 | 2,897,400 | 5,200,600 |
| Attached garage, 2 cars (Type C: 3) (see breakdown) | 521,000 | 521,000 | 521,000 | 342,500 | 521,000 | 763,000 |
| Plot works (driveway, paths, fence, garden) | 195,000 | 245,000 | 195,000 | 95,000 | 195,000 | 380,000 |
| Appliances, wardrobes, blinds | 330,000 | 410,000 | 330,000 | 200,000 | 330,000 | 520,000 |
| Soft costs | 793,291 | 931,765 | 839,098 | 303,490 | 699,336 | 1,206,229 |
| Contingency | 960,763 | 1,128,470 | 1,016,242 | 375,316 | 846,974 | 1,460,877 |
| Finance during build | 413,082 | 475,656 | 377,203 | 213,953 | 335,121 | 619,741 |
| Total all-in | 14,182,468 | 16,330,843 | 12,950,652 | 7,345,717 | 11,505,831 | 21,277,790 |
| House only (base + upgrades) per m2 GFA | 29,997 | 28,367 | 29,997 | 14,628 | 29,997 | 31,235 |
| House without land, per m2 GFA | 61,008 | 53,703 | 64,199 | 33,061 | 53,621 | 55,631 |
Spec upgrade breakdown, Type A (2,897,400 THB)
| Item | THB | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Structure: raised plinth (flood), termite barrier, seismic detailing | 150,000 | est. |
| Walls: 75-100 mm external insulation (ETICS / mineral wool) on AAC, delta | 320,000 | est. 1,600 THB/m2 wall |
| Roof: 150 mm insulation, ventilated metal roof, cool coating, sarking, delta | 243,000 | est. 1,800 THB/m2 roof; spray PU alone is 250-500 THB/m2 [15] |
| Windows: thermally broken, double glazed Low-E laminated, multipoint locks, delta | 399,000 | est. 14,000 vs 3,500 THB/m2 installed; Windsor uPVC list ~3,000-9,000 THB/m2 for common sizes + 600 install [14] |
| Insect screens on every opening | 30,400 | Windsor vinyl screens ~750 THB/m2 [14] |
| External doors: insulated, gasketed, multipoint, delta | 105,000 | est. |
| External shading: louvres, pergola, deep eaves on W/E | 80,000 | est. |
| Airtightness to Passive House level (n50 <= 0.6): membranes, tapes, 3 blower-door tests | 80,000 | est.; PHI limit 0.6 ACH50 [41] |
| Passive House certification: PHPP model, certifier, documentation | 50,000 | est.; one PHPP model per house type and orientation, certificate per house |
| ERV with F7 + HEPA (H13) filtration, positive pressure, ducting | 220,000 | est.; ducted clean-air systems 100,000+ THB [17] |
| Air conditioning: premium inverter (SEER 20+), concealed piping, full cost | 160,000 | est.; Daikin FTKF 18k BTU installed 26,655 THB [16] |
| DC ceiling fans in every bedroom and living room | 30,000 | est. |
| Heat pump water heater 200-300 L with recirculation, run in solar hours | 90,000 | est. |
| Solar PV 6 kWp, string inverter, feeding the estate grid | 180,000 | est. 30,000 THB/kWp; 10 kW house systems 250,000-430,000 [8] |
| PV-ready for 10 kWp: rails, penetrations, DC conduit | 15,000 | est. |
| Electrical upgrade: tier-1 gear, RCBO per circuit, SPD T1+T2, TN-C-S, conduit, delta | 180,000 | est.; B4L construction-standards |
| EV charger 7 kW, metered, controlled by the estate EMS | 45,000 | est. |
| Plumbing upgrade: PEX-AL-PEX manifold, silent drainage, check and leak shut-off valves, delta | 150,000 | est.; B4L construction-standards; no pump, tank or treatment per house |
| Monitoring: Home Assistant hub, per-room PM2.5/CO2 sensors, energy and water meters, leak sensors | 70,000 | est. |
| Life safety: interlinked smoke/heat/CO alarms, extinguishers | 15,000 | est. |
| Video intercom: door station, indoor station with SOS button, app; linked to the guard house | 35,000 | est.; villa door station 12,120 and indoor station 19,410 THB MSRP [52] |
| Kitchen and bathroom upgrade, delta | 250,000 | est. |
Attached garage (6.5 x 6 m, outside the airtight envelope)
| Item | Premium | Standard twin | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Garage shell 6.5 x 6 m: slab, masonry walls, insulated roof ready for PV | 351,000 | 292,500 | est. 9,000 THB/m2, between the TAF rates for a car repair garage (4,700-7,400 [60]) and a house (13,900 [1]) |
| Garage door 6 x 2.5 m: sectional, motor, app control, installed | 120,000 | 50,000 | 105,000 + 3,000 app module, excl. installation [61] |
| Fire-rated airtight self-closing door to the house, garage ventilation, heat detector, lights, sockets | 50,000 | est. | |
| Total | 521,000 | 342,500 |
Estate infrastructure, flagship (118.45 M THB, 50 houses)
| Line | THB |
|---|---|
| Land fill (flood margin) and grading | 14,900,000 |
| Ring road and two roundabouts, 6,465 m2: kerbs, drainage, landscaped islands with mountable aprons for trucks | 14,900,000 |
| Stormwater without open water: underground attenuation tank of about 1095 m3 under the west meadow of the park (1 m3 per 50 m2 of site [64], about 6,500 THB/m3 [64]), dry detention meadow that drains within a day [62], controlled outlet to the public drain | 7,300,000 |
| Central battery, LFP 530 kWh | 7,155,000 |
| Estate grid: 22 kV connection and metering, transformer, main LV board, LV ring of about 657 m to every house, revenue-grade sub-meters | 8,900,000 |
| Battery inverter (grid-forming), energy management system, islanding switchgear, fire-rated battery room | 2,580,000 |
| Standby generator: sized for 50 houses, scaled from the 14-house estate (est.) | 3,650,000 |
| Water plant: sized for 50 houses, scaled from the 14-house estate (est.) | 4,940,000 |
| Water tower: sized for 50 houses, scaled from the 14-house estate (est.) | 2,150,000 |
| Water ring main of about 657 m, house connections, smart meters, hydrants | 2,100,000 |
| Irrigation from treated effluent and a covered rainwater cistern (no open water) | 1,290,000 |
| Central sewage treatment plant | 3,860,000 |
| Fibre backbone, network core, common-area Wi-Fi | 1,930,000 |
| Gate access: 3 barrier lanes (2 in, 1 out) with LPR cameras, UHF and card readers, safety radar; pedestrian gate; access and visitor software on a local server | 650,000 |
| Video intercom backbone: guard master station, door stations at the gate, pedestrian gate and utility yard, SIP server | 200,000 |
| CCTV: gate, perimeter every ~25 m, sports centre; 30-day recorder; perimeter alarm analytics | 792,000 |
| Perimeter wall of 1002 m with anti-climb top, gate throat and islands, guard house with parcel room | 6,000,000 |
| Sports centre, 540 m2: hall with 2 badminton courts, gym, changing rooms, lobby with co-working; hall as a steel building (turnkey halls from about 8,000 THB/m2 [65]), sports floor [66], gym kit | 7,700,000 |
| Pool 20 x 8 m with deck, plant room and shade | 2,500,000 |
| Padel courts, 2, with lights (Chiang Mai 400,000 to 800,000 THB per court structure [67]), slab and drainage | 1,600,000 |
| Padel hall: enclosed steel hall 24 x 22 m over both courts, 9 m high (FIP: at least 6 m clear over the court, 8 m suggested for new halls [69]), insulated roof, closed walls with louvres, ceiling fans (steel halls from about 8,000 THB/m2 [65]) | 4,500,000 |
| Multi-use court 28 x 13 m (futsal, basketball): slab, PU hard court [66], fence, lights | 950,000 |
| Natural park, 8,882 m2: native meadow and tree groves, gravel loop of about 491 m, natural play, sala (340 THB/m2 plus 400,000 for play and sala, est.) | 3,400,000 |
| Places to sit and play in the park: 3 outdoor table tennis tables on pads (60,000 THB each), 2 picnic lawns with two tables (60,000), 2 shade pavilions with benches (300,000), 2 seating circles (150,000), 2 hammock groves (60,000), 34 benches along the loop (12,000), 82 flowering shrubs (1,500), 53 park trees (6,000 planted); all est. | 2,170,000 |
| Perimeter trail, 950 m round the estate in the green belt: 2.5 m permeable running surface on a compacted base with edging (about 900 THB/m2, est.), low bollard lights every 25 m (15,000 THB each, est.); green lanes between the plots, 10 lanes, 4 m wide with a 1.5 m path, 260 m (est.); 14 outdoor fitness stations on the trail and in the park (60,000 THB each, est.) | 4,000,000 |
| Common landscaping: verges and corner greens (12,770 m2, mostly native meadow at about 150 THB/m2), trees, street lighting | 4,100,000 |
| Workshop, spare-parts store, staff room and bin store by the gate | 800,000 |
| Permits: building, environmental screening, PEA, groundwater, utility connections | 3,430,000 |
Running costs per house per year (landlord)
| Line | flagship A premium | flagship B premium | lean A premium | lean A standard | pilot A premium | flagship C premium |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full service: In-house technical team (share) | 46,969 | 46,969 | 65,248 | 46,969 | ||
| Full service: Consumables (filters, parts, pest control) | 15,800 | 19,750 | 15,800 | 15,800 | 25,280 | |
| Full service: Repairs: parts and specialists | 12,000 | 15,000 | 12,000 | 12,000 | 19,200 | |
| Full service: Component replacement reserve | 97,053 | 121,316 | 97,053 | 97,053 | 172,785 | |
| Estate systems: Water plant: media, membranes, UV lamps, chemicals, lab tests, groundwater fee | 3,800 | 3,800 | 5,000 | 3,800 | ||
| Estate systems: Transfer and well pumps, replacement reserve (360,000 over 12 years) | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,200 | |||
| Estate systems: Water tower: yearly inspection and tank cleaning; repaint reserve (300,000 every 10 years) | 2,000 | 2,000 | 2,000 | |||
| Estate systems: Sewage plant: service, sludge removal, blower reserve | 3,800 | 3,800 | 5,000 | 3,800 | ||
| Estate systems: Sports centre, padel hall, pool and courts: AC, fans, sports floor, padel glass and turf, nets, lights, hall roofs; service and reserve | 4,800 | 4,800 | 4,800 | |||
| Estate systems: Standby generator: service contract (2-3 % of the machine a year [68]), monthly test runs under load, fuel turnover; replacement reserve (1.7 M over 25 years) | 4,600 | 4,600 | 4,600 | |||
| Estate systems: Stormwater tank, detention meadow and drains: inspection, desilting, outlet | 820 | 820 | 820 | |||
| Estate systems: Gate, barriers, LPR, intercom, CCTV, network core: service and reserve | 1,800 | 1,800 | 5,000 | 1,800 | ||
| Estate systems: Transformer and switchgear: maintenance, thermal imaging | 1,800 | 1,800 | 2,500 | 1,800 | ||
| Estate systems: Perimeter trail, green lanes, fitness stations: surface top-up, edging, equipment service, bollard lamps (est.) | 1,880 | 1,880 | 1,880 | |||
| Estate systems: Park furniture: table tennis tables, picnic tables, pavilions, benches, hammocks; care and replacement reserve (est.) | 2,200 | 2,200 | 2,200 | |||
| Estate systems: PV: inspection, cleaning, monitoring | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | |
| Estate systems: Battery: O&M and replacement reserve | 11,686 | 11,686 | 11,944 | 18,375 | 11,686 | |
| Electricity: estate PEA bill (houses + common), share | 6,178 | 6,178 | 6,137 | 5,898 | 6,178 | |
| Security: contracted guards, share | 23,112 | 23,112 | 48,150 | 48,150 | 23,112 | |
| Common services: gardens, pool, cleaning, office | 35,182 | 35,182 | 48,562 | 8,000 | 35,182 | |
| Insurance | 8,881 | 10,994 | 8,881 | 4,463 | 8,881 | 15,200 |
| Land and building tax | 27,364 | 32,313 | 21,946 | 13,111 | 23,323 | 44,166 |
| less: Electricity above the allowance, billed at the PEA residential rate | -2,875 | -2,875 | -2,659 | -3,989 | -2,875 | |
| Estate systems: Pumps, replacement reserve; water tower inspection, cleaning, repaint reserve | 4,583 | |||||
| Estate systems: Pavilion, padel hall, pool and courts: service and reserve | 9,167 | |||||
| Estate systems: Standby generator: service contract [68], test runs, fuel turnover; replacement reserve (1.4 M over 25 years) | 7,417 | |||||
| Estate systems: Stormwater tank and drains: inspection, desilting | 1,000 | |||||
| Maintenance reserve (tenant does the small things) | 26,164 | |||||
| Common services | 29,138 | |||||
| Full service: AC cleaning, outsourced | 6,000 | |||||
| Full service: Technician visits and call-outs (B4L) | 30,000 | |||||
| Estate systems: Shared water: filters, UV lamp, lab tests | 6,000 | |||||
| Estate systems: Booster set and sewage tanks: service and reserve | 5,000 | |||||
| Full service: Private pool: care and chemicals | 36,000 | |||||
| Total fixed running costs | 310,951 | 349,226 | 373,628 | 121,026 | 233,241 | 462,484 |
| per month | 25,913 | 29,102 | 31,136 | 10,085 | 19,437 | 38,540 |
Plus 8% management on collected rent and 1 month vacancy a year.
Grouped, THB per house per month:
| Line | flagship A premium | flagship B premium | lean A premium | lean A standard | pilot A premium | flagship C premium |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full service: team, consumables, repairs | 6,231 | 6,810 | 7,754 | 0 | 5,317 | 10,621 |
| Component replacement reserve | 8,088 | 10,110 | 8,088 | 2,180 | 8,088 | 14,399 |
| Estate systems (water, sewage, grid, battery, PV) | 3,441 | 3,441 | 4,376 | 0 | 2,523 | 3,441 |
| Electricity (estate PEA bill less excess billed) | 275 | 275 | 290 | 0 | 159 | 275 |
| Security: contracted guards | 1,926 | 1,926 | 4,012 | 4,012 | 0 | 1,926 |
| Common services: gardens, pool, cleaning, office | 2,932 | 2,932 | 4,047 | 2,428 | 667 | 2,932 |
| Insurance and land tax | 3,020 | 3,609 | 2,569 | 1,465 | 2,684 | 4,947 |
Gate and security staffing (docs/security-and-access.md)
One guard position = one guard 12 h a day, every day, relief included: 22,500 THB a month plus 7% VAT [45].
| Estate | Positions | Guard positions | THB per year | Per house per month | Normal-spec estate, per house per month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flagship: 34.3 rai, 50 houses round a natural park, Hang Dong / Nong Khwai area | Gate post, 24 h: two guards on 12-hour shifts (2); Night patrol, 18:00 to 06:00 (2) | 4 | 1,155,600 | 1,926 | 963 |
| Lean: 6.5 rai, 12 houses round a park, outer Hang Dong / Saraphi | Gate post, 24 h: two guards on 12-hour shifts (2) | 2 | 577,800 | 4,012 | 4,012 |
| Pilot: 2 houses on a 0.6 rai serviced plot, Hang Dong | none (door station calls the houses) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Gardens, pool, cleaning and office, whole estate per year (est.):
| Item | flagship | lean | pilot |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gardeners, 6 (park, private gardens, verges, green belt and lanes) | 982,800 | ||
| Cleaners, 2: sports centre, changing rooms, guard house, common areas | 300,300 | ||
| Pool chemicals, garden and cleaning materials, standing-water checks | 260,000 | ||
| Estate office: software, phones, access cards and tags, signage | 130,000 | 40,000 | |
| Waste collection fee | 86,000 | 15,000 | |
| Gardeners, 2 (park and private gardens) | 327,600 | ||
| Cleaner | 150,150 | ||
| Pool chemicals, garden and cleaning materials | 50,000 | ||
| Garden care and cleaning, contractor | 16,000 | ||
| Per house per month | 2,932 | 4,047 | 667 |
A normal-spec estate is modelled with the same 24 h gate post and 60% of the gardens, pool, cleaning and office cost.
Density, gardens, park and sports (docs/site-plan.md)
| Estate | Land (rai) | Houses | Houses per rai | Type A plot | Type B plot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flagship: 34.3 rai, 50 houses round a natural park, Hang Dong / Nong Khwai area | 34.3 | 50 | 1.5 | 416 m2 | 494 m2 |
| Lean: 6.5 rai, 12 houses round a park, outer Hang Dong / Saraphi | 6.5 | 12 | 1.8 | 416 m2 | 494 m2 |
| Pilot: 2 houses on a 0.6 rai serviced plot, Hang Dong | 0.6 | 2 | 3.3 | 416 m2 | 494 m2 |
Park, sports and stormwater, capital (est.):
| Estate | Item | THB |
|---|---|---|
| flagship | Stormwater without open water: underground attenuation tank of about 1095 m3 under the west meadow of the park (1 m3 per 50 m2 of site [64], about 6,500 THB/m3 [64]), dry detention meadow that drains within a day [62], controlled outlet to the public drain | 7,300,000 |
| flagship | Sports centre, 540 m2: hall with 2 badminton courts, gym, changing rooms, lobby with co-working; hall as a steel building (turnkey halls from about 8,000 THB/m2 [65]), sports floor [66], gym kit | 7,700,000 |
| flagship | Pool 20 x 8 m with deck, plant room and shade | 2,500,000 |
| flagship | Padel courts, 2, with lights (Chiang Mai 400,000 to 800,000 THB per court structure [67]), slab and drainage | 1,600,000 |
| flagship | Padel hall: enclosed steel hall 24 x 22 m over both courts, 9 m high (FIP: at least 6 m clear over the court, 8 m suggested for new halls [69]), insulated roof, closed walls with louvres, ceiling fans (steel halls from about 8,000 THB/m2 [65]) | 4,500,000 |
| flagship | Multi-use court 28 x 13 m (futsal, basketball): slab, PU hard court [66], fence, lights | 950,000 |
| flagship | Natural park, 8,882 m2: native meadow and tree groves, gravel loop of about 491 m, natural play, sala (340 THB/m2 plus 400,000 for play and sala, est.) | 3,400,000 |
| flagship | Places to sit and play in the park: 3 outdoor table tennis tables on pads (60,000 THB each), 2 picnic lawns with two tables (60,000), 2 shade pavilions with benches (300,000), 2 seating circles (150,000), 2 hammock groves (60,000), 34 benches along the loop (12,000), 82 flowering shrubs (1,500), 53 park trees (6,000 planted); all est. | 2,170,000 |
| flagship | Perimeter trail, 950 m round the estate in the green belt: 2.5 m permeable running surface on a compacted base with edging (about 900 THB/m2, est.), low bollard lights every 25 m (15,000 THB each, est.); green lanes between the plots, 10 lanes, 4 m wide with a 1.5 m path, 260 m (est.); 14 outdoor fitness stations on the trail and in the park (60,000 THB each, est.) | 4,000,000 |
| flagship | Total; per house | 34,120,000; 682,400 |
| lean | Stormwater: underground attenuation tank of about 160 m3, dry detention lawn [62][64] | 1,200,000 |
| lean | Sports pavilion with gym and changing rooms, pool, one padel court, multi-use court | 5,000,000 |
| lean | Padel hall: enclosed steel hall 12 x 22 m over the court, 9 m high [69][65] | 2,300,000 |
| lean | Park: lawn, trees, paths, playground | 1,000,000 |
| lean | Total; per house | 9,500,000; 791,667 |
There is no open water on the estate: stormwater goes to a closed tank under the west meadow of the park and a detention meadow that is dry within a day, so nothing holds standing water long enough for mosquito larvae [62][63].
Flagship site quantities, measured on the layout (scripts/layout.py):
| Quantity | Value |
|---|---|
| Site | 54,918 m2 |
| 29 A, 17 B, 4 C plots (A 16 x 26 m, B 19 x 26 m, C corner plots) | 23,920 m2 |
| of which private gardens | 8,280 m2 |
| Ring road, roundabouts, gate throat, club spur and car park | 6,465 m2 |
| Natural park inside the ring | 8,882 m2 |
| Sports centre, padel hall, pool deck, multi-use court | 1,744 m2 |
| Frontage strip, service yard with the water tower | 1,137 m2 |
| Verges, corner greens, perimeter belt | 12,770 m2 |
| Ring road centre line | 657 m |
| Perimeter wall | 1,002 m |
| Park loop path | 491 m |
| Stormwater tank | 1,095 m3 |
Site 339 x 162 m = 34.3 rai. Neighbouring houses stand 7 m apart (3.5 m from each side wall to the plot line).
Component replacement reserve, Type A (full service)
| Component | Cost | Life (years) | Per year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air conditioners, 4 units | 160,000 | 12 | 13,333 |
| ERV unit: fans, core, controls | 120,000 | 15 | 8,000 |
| Heat pump water heater | 90,000 | 12 | 7,500 |
| PV string inverter | 30,000 | 12 | 2,500 |
| Appliances: fridge, hob, oven, washer, dryer, dishwasher | 150,000 | 11 | 13,636 |
| Interior repaint and touch-ups between tenancies | 50,000 | 4 | 12,500 |
| Exterior render repaint incl. scaffold | 90,000 | 12 | 7,500 |
| Roof coating, sealants, window and door gaskets | 50,000 | 15 | 3,333 |
| Kitchen and bathroom refresh: fronts, tops, fittings | 250,000 | 20 | 12,500 |
| Sensors, Home Assistant hub, network gear | 40,000 | 8 | 5,000 |
| EV charger | 45,000 | 12 | 3,750 |
| Garage door motor, springs and seals | 25,000 | 10 | 2,500 |
| Blinds and insect screens | 40,000 | 8 | 5,000 |
| Total | 97,053 |
Type B: x1.25; Type C: x1.6 plus the private pool (17,500 a year: pump, filter and salt cell every 8 years, resurfacing every 15, est.). Structure, windows and PV modules (25+ years) are not reserved.
Rent the house has to earn (monthly; premium all-inclusive)
| Line | flagship A premium | flagship B premium | lean A premium | lean A standard | pilot A premium | flagship C premium |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed running costs per year | 310,951 | 349,226 | 373,628 | 121,026 | 233,241 | 462,484 |
| Net yield 4% | 87,000 | 99,000 | 88,000 | 41,000 | 69,000 | 130,000 |
| Net yield 5% | 101,000 | 115,000 | 101,000 | 48,000 | 80,000 | 151,000 |
| Net yield 6% | 115,000 | 131,000 | 114,000 | 56,000 | 91,000 | 172,000 |
| Bank-financed, DSCR 1.25 (60% LTV, 6.5%, 20 y) | 126,000 | 144,000 | 124,000 | 61,000 | 100,000 | 189,000 |
| Gross yield at 5% net rent | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
The standard house is let the normal way: the tenant pays electricity, water and small repairs.
What the all-inclusive rent covers (monthly, priced as a tenant would pay)
| Included | THB/month |
|---|---|
| Electricity, reference family (450 kWh) at the PEA residential tariff [33] | 1,992 |
| Water, 22 m3 at the PWA residential tariff [43] | 300 |
| AC cleaning, 4 units x 3 a year at 450 THB [39] | 450 |
| Repairs, filters, consumables a tenant would normally carry (est.) | 500 |
| Garden care (est.) | 1,000 |
| Total | 4,242 |
A tenant in a normal house pays on top of rent:
| Tenant's own costs, normal house | THB/month |
|---|---|
| Electricity, 800 kWh at the PEA residential tariff [33] | 3,708 |
| Water, 22 m3 at the PWA residential tariff [43] | 300 |
| AC cleaning, 4 units x 3 a year at 450 THB [39] | 450 |
| Small repairs and consumables (bulbs, washers, pump service) | 500 |
| Air purifier filters and power, smoke season, averaged | 400 |
| Garden care | 1,000 |
| Total | 6,358 |
| Monthly occupancy cost to the tenant | THB |
|---|---|
| Standard house (lean): rent for 5 % net + own costs | 48,300 + 6,358 = 54,600 |
| flagship A premium: all-inclusive rent for 5 % net | 100,800 (bare-rent equivalent 96,600) |
| lean A premium: all-inclusive rent for 5 % net | 100,900 (bare-rent equivalent 96,700) |
| pilot A premium: all-inclusive rent for 5 % net | 79,900 (bare-rent equivalent 75,700) |
Project totals, premium spec
| Estate | Houses | Capital, all-in | Rent roll at 5 % net rents, per year | Equity if bank lends 50 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flagship: 34.3 rai, 50 houses round a natural park, Hang Dong / Nong Khwai area | 50 | 774.03 M | 65.82 M | 387.01 M |
| Lean: 6.5 rai, 12 houses round a park, outer Hang Dong / Saraphi | 12 | 155.41 M | 14.53 M | 77.70 M |
| Pilot: 2 houses on a 0.6 rai serviced plot, Hang Dong | 2 | 23.01 M | 1.92 M | 11.51 M |
Sensitivity: flagship Type A premium
| Case | All-in cost | Running costs / yr | Rent for 5 % net | Change in rent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | 14,180,000 | 311,000 | 101,000 | +0 |
| Land 3.0 M THB/rai (outer Hang Dong) | 12,950,000 | 307,000 | 94,000 | -6,464 |
| Land 6.5 M THB/rai (prime road frontage) | 15,350,000 | 314,000 | 107,000 | +6,105 |
| No central battery (no estate backup) | 13,940,000 | 312,000 | 100,000 | -1,041 |
| No standby generator (battery and roofs only in a long outage) | 14,090,000 | 306,000 | 100,000 | -900 |
| Full 10 kWp on every roof, no export | 14,310,000 | 310,000 | 101,000 | +510 |
| Full 10 kWp on every roof, export at 2.2 THB/kWh | 14,310,000 | 295,000 | 100,000 | -894 |
| Full-service costs 25 % higher | 14,180,000 | 364,000 | 106,000 | +5,265 |
| Full-service costs 25 % lower | 14,180,000 | 258,000 | 96,000 | -5,265 |
| Electricity metered and billed at the PEA residential rate, no allowance | 14,180,000 | 286,000 | 98,000 | -2,510 |
| No sports hall: gym in a small pavilion, outdoor courts only (-5.0 M) | 14,060,000 | 311,000 | 100,000 | -610 |
| Padel courts in the open, no padel hall (-4.5 M) | 14,070,000 | 311,000 | 100,000 | -549 |
| One padel court and a smaller park (-1.6 M) | 14,140,000 | 311,000 | 101,000 | -195 |
| No night patrol: gate post only | 14,180,000 | 299,000 | 100,000 | -1,142 |
| Guards 20 % cheaper (Chiang Mai quote) | 14,180,000 | 306,000 | 100,000 | -457 |
| Second gate, unstaffed: residents only, video call to the main gate | 14,200,000 | 311,000 | 101,000 | +110 |
| Second gate, staffed 24 h | 14,210,000 | 317,000 | 102,000 | +730 |
| Open carport instead of the attached garage | 13,610,000 | 306,000 | 97,000 | -3,322 |
| Smaller house, 160 m2 GFA | 13,700,000 | 309,000 | 98,000 | -2,542 |
| Contingency 15 % instead of 10 % | 14,680,000 | 311,000 | 103,000 | +2,445 |
| Value-engineered: land 4.0 M, no battery, no EV charger, no sports hall | 13,210,000 | 311,000 | 96,000 | -4,819 |
Reverse view: maximum all-in cost for a given rent (5 % net)
Same running costs as the flagship Type A premium house. Useful to test design-to-cost targets.
| Monthly rent | Max all-in cost | vs flagship A premium |
|---|---|---|
| 50,000 | 3,900,000 | -72% |
| 60,000 | 5,920,000 | -58% |
| 70,000 | 7,950,000 | -44% |
| 80,000 | 9,970,000 | -30% |
What the premium spec and full service cost (lean estate, Type A)
- Extra all-in cost vs a standard house on the same land: 5,604,935 THB (76% more).
- Extra rent needed to earn 5 % net: 52,700 THB/month, of which 27,700 pays for the building and 25,000 for running it (full service, utilities, estate systems).
- The all-inclusive rent covers about 4,200 THB/month that a tenant would otherwise pay themselves in this house; in a normal house those costs are about 6,400.
Estate energy: shared grid, central battery (base configuration)
Hourly simulation over 2019-2023 (PVGIS, Hang Dong) in model/estate_energy.py. Loads are estimates.
| flagship | lean | pilot | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houses | 50 | 12 | 2 |
| PV, kWp total | 300 | 72 | 12 |
| Central battery, kWh | 530 | 130 | 30 |
| PEA tariff | tou | tou | tiered |
| PV generation, MWh/yr | 423.3 | 101.6 | 16.9 |
| Houses' use, MWh/yr | 312.8 | 69.2 | 13.0 |
| Common loads (water plant, sewage, pool, sports centre, lights, gate), MWh/yr | 100.8 | 30.9 | 4.6 |
| Bought from PEA, MWh/yr | 71.0 | 16.1 | 2.7 |
| PV curtailed (no export), MWh/yr | 68.2 | 14.6 | 1.4 |
| Share of the estate's use met by its own PV | 83% | 84% | 85% |
| Share of the PV the estate uses | 84% | 86% | 92% |
| PEA bill per year, THB (incl. demand charge, Ft, VAT) | 308,924 | 73,649 | 11,796 |
| PEA bill per house per month, THB | 515 | 511 | 491 |
PEA tariff: tou = type 3.2.2 medium business TOU at 22-33 kV; tiered = type 2 small business, same tiers as residential 1.1.2 [33]. Both to be confirmed with PEA.
PV and battery sizing, flagship (annual cost of energy, THB)
Annualised capital (5 %, PV 25 years, battery 15 years) + O&M + PEA bill - export income. In brackets: share of the estate's use met by its own PV.
No export (base)
| PV per house | battery 0 kWh | battery 100 kWh | battery 200 kWh | battery 300 kWh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 kWp | 1,756,000 (-0%) | 2,194,000 (0%) | 2,344,000 (0%) | 2,494,000 (0%) |
| 4 kWp | 1,479,000 (44%) | 1,786,000 (51%) | 1,826,000 (57%) | 1,886,000 (62%) |
| 6 kWp | 1,651,000 (48%) | 1,946,000 (56%) | 1,964,000 (63%) | 1,973,000 (70%) |
| 8 kWp | 1,851,000 (50%) | 2,144,000 (57%) | 2,155,000 (65%) | 2,155,000 (72%) |
| 10 kWp | 2,061,000 (51%) | 2,355,000 (58%) | 2,362,000 (66%) | 2,360,000 (73%) |
Export at 2.2 THB/kWh
| PV per house | battery 0 kWh | battery 100 kWh | battery 200 kWh | battery 300 kWh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 kWp | 1,756,000 (-0%) | 2,194,000 (0%) | 2,344,000 (0%) | 2,494,000 (0%) |
| 4 kWp | 1,263,000 (44%) | 1,639,000 (51%) | 1,735,000 (57%) | 1,838,000 (62%) |
| 6 kWp | 1,157,000 (48%) | 1,526,000 (56%) | 1,615,000 (63%) | 1,692,000 (70%) |
| 8 kWp | 1,062,000 (50%) | 1,431,000 (57%) | 1,515,000 (65%) | 1,587,000 (72%) |
| 10 kWp | 972,000 (51%) | 1,340,000 (58%) | 1,422,000 (66%) | 1,494,000 (73%) |
Shared grid vs every house on its own (flagship)
Islanded: each house its own PEA residential meter, 10 kWp and a 15 kWh battery; common loads on a separate meter without PV. Hybrid inverter premium 40,000 THB per house (est.); home batteries 15,000 THB/kWh [10], 12-year life.
| Design | Capital, PV + batteries | PEA bills / yr | Export income / yr | Annual cost of energy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islanded, 10 kWp + 15 kWh each, no export | 28.25 M | 470,646 | 0 | 3,237,000 |
| Islanded, 10 kWp + 15 kWh each, net billing | 28.25 M | 470,646 | 858,920 | 2,378,000 |
| Shared grid, 6 kWp each + 530 kWh central, no export | 18.73 M | 308,924 | 0 | 2,076,000 |
| Shared grid, 10 kWp each + 530 kWh central, no export | 24.73 M | 189,340 | 0 | 2,413,000 |
| Shared grid, 10 kWp each + 530 kWh central, export | 24.73 M | 189,340 | 710,617 | 1,702,000 |
With 25 tenant EVs smart-charged at home (58.4 MWh/yr, billed to the tenants), the share of the estate's use met by its own PV goes from 83% to 78% and curtailment from 68.2 to 41.2 MWh/yr.
Tenant view: electricity
- Reference family in Type A: 450 kWh/month; PEA would bill them 1,992 THB/month as a residential customer. In the estate it is inside the 500 kWh allowance: no bill.
- The same family in a normal leaky house: 800 kWh/month, 3,708 THB/month.
- Household kinds in the model (Type A): family away at school and work on weekdays 450 kWh/month, someone home all day 636, house empty 73. Mix: 60% family, 30% home, 10% empty.